Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 86%
180–190 Mio. 10%
190-200m 3.5%
210-220 Mio. 1.0%
$17,481 Vol.
$17,481 Vol.
9. Aug. 2026
<180m
86%
180–190 Mio.
10%
190-200m
4%
200–210 Mio.
1%
210-220 Mio.
1%
220 Mio.+
<1%
<180m 86%
180–190 Mio. 10%
190-200m 3.5%
210-220 Mio. 1.0%
$17,481 Vol.
$17,481 Vol.
9. Aug. 2026
<180m
$10,049 Vol.
86%
180–190 Mio.
$1,091 Vol.
10%
190-200m
$1,380 Vol.
4%
200–210 Mio.
$1,061 Vol.
1%
210-220 Mio.
$1,282 Vol.
1%
220 Mio.+
$2,617 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volumen
$17,481Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$17,481Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird das Einspielergebnis von "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" am zweiten Wochenende zwischen 160 Mio. und 170 Mio. liegen?
50%
Ja
Wird das gesamte Inlandsbrutto für Spider-Man: Brand New Day bis zum 31. August mindestens 900 Mio. erreichen?
81%
Ja
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?
44%
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen