**"Spider-Man: Brand New Day"** opened to a record-shattering $355–360 million domestic weekend in late July 2026, the second-largest debut ever behind only "Avengers: Endgame." Strong critical consensus (90% on Rotten Tomatoes) and an "A" CinemaScore have fueled robust word-of-mouth, with the film already surpassing $449 million domestically in its first week-plus of release. Traders see this early momentum, combined with typical superhero legs and minimal August competition, as the key driver behind the overwhelming 81.3% implied probability for a $900 million+ domestic finish by August 31. The film’s global opening near $927 million further underscores broad audience appeal. Key upcoming catalysts include daily tracking updates and weekend holds through the rest of the month, which will determine whether it sustains front-loaded pace or accelerates further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Gesamt-Bruttoinlandsprodukt bis zum 31. August?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Gesamt-Bruttoinlandsprodukt bis zum 31. August?
900 Mio.+ 81.3%
800 - 900 Mio. 18%
700 - 800 Mio. 2.6%
600 - 700 Mio. <1%
$341,838 Vol.
$341,838 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
<400 Mio.
<1%
400 - 500 Mio.
<1%
500 - 600 Mio.
<1%
600 - 700 Mio.
1%
700 - 800 Mio.
3%
800 - 900 Mio.
18%
900 Mio.+
81%
900 Mio.+ 81.3%
800 - 900 Mio. 18%
700 - 800 Mio. 2.6%
600 - 700 Mio. <1%
$341,838 Vol.
$341,838 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
<400 Mio.
$5,823 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 Mio.
$19,618 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600 Mio.
$25,267 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700 Mio.
$26,725 Vol.
1%
700 - 800 Mio.
$23,099 Vol.
3%
800 - 900 Mio.
$37,965 Vol.
18%
900 Mio.+
$203,341 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**"Spider-Man: Brand New Day"** opened to a record-shattering $355–360 million domestic weekend in late July 2026, the second-largest debut ever behind only "Avengers: Endgame." Strong critical consensus (90% on Rotten Tomatoes) and an "A" CinemaScore have fueled robust word-of-mouth, with the film already surpassing $449 million domestically in its first week-plus of release. Traders see this early momentum, combined with typical superhero legs and minimal August competition, as the key driver behind the overwhelming 81.3% implied probability for a $900 million+ domestic finish by August 31. The film’s global opening near $927 million further underscores broad audience appeal. Key upcoming catalysts include daily tracking updates and weekend holds through the rest of the month, which will determine whether it sustains front-loaded pace or accelerates further.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$341,838Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**"Spider-Man: Brand New Day"** opened to a record-shattering $355–360 million domestic weekend in late July 2026, the second-largest debut ever behind only "Avengers: Endgame." Strong critical consensus (90% on Rotten Tomatoes) and an "A" CinemaScore have fueled robust word-of-mouth, with the film already surpassing $449 million domestically in its first week-plus of release. Traders see this early momentum, combined with typical superhero legs and minimal August competition, as the key driver behind the overwhelming 81.3% implied probability for a $900 million+ domestic finish by August 31. The film’s global opening near $927 million further underscores broad audience appeal. Key upcoming catalysts include daily tracking updates and weekend holds through the rest of the month, which will determine whether it sustains front-loaded pace or accelerates further.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$341,838Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**"Spider-Man: Brand New Day"** opened to a record-shattering $355–360 million domestic weekend in late July 2026, the second-largest debut ever behind only "Avengers: Endgame." Strong critical consensus (90% on Rotten Tomatoes) and an "A" CinemaScore have fueled robust word-of-mouth, with the film already surpassing $449 million domestically in its first week-plus of release. Traders see this early momentum, combined with typical superhero legs and minimal August competition, as the key driver behind the overwhelming 81.3% implied probability for a $900 million+ domestic finish by August 31. The film’s global opening near $927 million further underscores broad audience appeal. Key upcoming catalysts include daily tracking updates and weekend holds through the rest of the month, which will determine whether it sustains front-loaded pace or accelerates further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?
45%
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m?
86%
Wird das Einspielergebnis von "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" am zweiten Wochenende zwischen 160 Mio. und 170 Mio. liegen?
49%
Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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