Recent polling released on May 15 has placed Donald Trump's approval rating in the narrow 38.5–38.9 band, producing the near-certain outcome reflected in current trader consensus. This positioning stems from steady public responses to ongoing legislative priorities and administration actions in the weeks leading into mid-May, without major new catalysts shifting sentiment. Historical base rates for incumbent approval during comparable periods show similar stability absent acute economic or foreign-policy shocks. The market's heavy weighting on this range captures the latest available indicators, though resolution could still adjust if final data revisions or unreleased surveys alter the reported figure by a point or more.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTrump approval rating on May 15?
Trump approval rating on May 15?
38.5–38.9 99.4%
38.0–38.4 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
<38.0 <1%
$24,733 Vol.
$24,733 Vol.
15. Mai 2026
<38.0
<1%
38.0–38.4
1%
38.5–38.9
99%
39.0–39.4
1%
39.5–39.9
<1%
40.0+
<1%
38.5–38.9 99.4%
38.0–38.4 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
<38.0 <1%
$24,733 Vol.
$24,733 Vol.
15. Mai 2026
<38.0
$3,726 Vol.
<1%
38.0–38.4
$4,630 Vol.
1%
38.5–38.9
$7,211 Vol.
99%
39.0–39.4
$4,622 Vol.
1%
39.5–39.9
$2,651 Vol.
<1%
40.0+
$1,894 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling released on May 15 has placed Donald Trump's approval rating in the narrow 38.5–38.9 band, producing the near-certain outcome reflected in current trader consensus. This positioning stems from steady public responses to ongoing legislative priorities and administration actions in the weeks leading into mid-May, without major new catalysts shifting sentiment. Historical base rates for incumbent approval during comparable periods show similar stability absent acute economic or foreign-policy shocks. The market's heavy weighting on this range captures the latest available indicators, though resolution could still adjust if final data revisions or unreleased surveys alter the reported figure by a point or more.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Volumen
$24,733Enddatum
15. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling released on May 15 has placed Donald Trump's approval rating in the narrow 38.5–38.9 band, producing the near-certain outcome reflected in current trader consensus. This positioning stems from steady public responses to ongoing legislative priorities and administration actions in the weeks leading into mid-May, without major new catalysts shifting sentiment. Historical base rates for incumbent approval during comparable periods show similar stability absent acute economic or foreign-policy shocks. The market's heavy weighting on this range captures the latest available indicators, though resolution could still adjust if final data revisions or unreleased surveys alter the reported figure by a point or more.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$24,733Enddatum
15. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling released on May 15 has placed Donald Trump's approval rating in the narrow 38.5–38.9 band, producing the near-certain outcome reflected in current trader consensus. This positioning stems from steady public responses to ongoing legislative priorities and administration actions in the weeks leading into mid-May, without major new catalysts shifting sentiment. Historical base rates for incumbent approval during comparable periods show similar stability absent acute economic or foreign-policy shocks. The market's heavy weighting on this range captures the latest available indicators, though resolution could still adjust if final data revisions or unreleased surveys alter the reported figure by a point or more.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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