Labour's catastrophic losses in last week's local and devolved elections, where Reform UK and Greens made major gains, drove UK government approval to record lows in YouGov's 9-11 May poll—14% approve versus 70% disapprove, net -56%, down eight points from early May. Keir Starmer's net favourability held steady at -46, per recent YouGov data, amid ongoing party tensions including Andy Burnham's announcement to contest the Makerfield by-election. With no fresh scandals or policy setbacks this week and historical patterns of post-election stabilization, traders reflect 66% implied probability for an approval uptick in the next weekly YouGov tracker, betting on a modest rebound before potential leadership speculation intensifies.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertUK Government approval Up or Down this week?
UK Government approval Up or Down this week?
Up
$250 Vol.
$250 Vol.
6. Apr. 2026
Up
$250 Vol.
$250 Vol.
6. Apr. 2026
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.Labour's catastrophic losses in last week's local and devolved elections, where Reform UK and Greens made major gains, drove UK government approval to record lows in YouGov's 9-11 May poll—14% approve versus 70% disapprove, net -56%, down eight points from early May. Keir Starmer's net favourability held steady at -46, per recent YouGov data, amid ongoing party tensions including Andy Burnham's announcement to contest the Makerfield by-election. With no fresh scandals or policy setbacks this week and historical patterns of post-election stabilization, traders reflect 66% implied probability for an approval uptick in the next weekly YouGov tracker, betting on a modest rebound before potential leadership speculation intensifies.
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Volumen
$250Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.Labour's catastrophic losses in last week's local and devolved elections, where Reform UK and Greens made major gains, drove UK government approval to record lows in YouGov's 9-11 May poll—14% approve versus 70% disapprove, net -56%, down eight points from early May. Keir Starmer's net favourability held steady at -46, per recent YouGov data, amid ongoing party tensions including Andy Burnham's announcement to contest the Makerfield by-election. With no fresh scandals or policy setbacks this week and historical patterns of post-election stabilization, traders reflect 66% implied probability for an approval uptick in the next weekly YouGov tracker, betting on a modest rebound before potential leadership speculation intensifies.
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Volumen
$250Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Labour's catastrophic losses in last week's local and devolved elections, where Reform UK and Greens made major gains, drove UK government approval to record lows in YouGov's 9-11 May poll—14% approve versus 70% disapprove, net -56%, down eight points from early May. Keir Starmer's net favourability held steady at -46, per recent YouGov data, amid ongoing party tensions including Andy Burnham's announcement to contest the Makerfield by-election. With no fresh scandals or policy setbacks this week and historical patterns of post-election stabilization, traders reflect 66% implied probability for an approval uptick in the next weekly YouGov tracker, betting on a modest rebound before potential leadership speculation intensifies.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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