Trader consensus prices "No" at 70.5% for U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill before 2027, driven by persistent congressional gridlock in the divided 119th Congress and the Trump administration's preference for light-touch federal AI policy. In March 2026, the White House released a National Policy Framework urging innovation-focused legislation with state preemption, but bills like H.R. 8037 (Protect American AI Act) and H.R. 6402 (Ensuring Safe AI) remain stalled in early introduction stages without committee advancement. States like Colorado and Iowa have passed narrower AI measures on chatbots and pricing since early May, filling the federal void amid partisan divides on regulation scope. With midterms looming in November and lame-duck session as the final window, traders see slim odds of bipartisan passage on comprehensive safety rules.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$98,188 Vol.
$98,188 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$98,188 Vol.
$98,188 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus prices "No" at 70.5% for U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill before 2027, driven by persistent congressional gridlock in the divided 119th Congress and the Trump administration's preference for light-touch federal AI policy. In March 2026, the White House released a National Policy Framework urging innovation-focused legislation with state preemption, but bills like H.R. 8037 (Protect American AI Act) and H.R. 6402 (Ensuring Safe AI) remain stalled in early introduction stages without committee advancement. States like Colorado and Iowa have passed narrower AI measures on chatbots and pricing since early May, filling the federal void amid partisan divides on regulation scope. With midterms looming in November and lame-duck session as the final window, traders see slim odds of bipartisan passage on comprehensive safety rules.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volumen
$98,188Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus prices "No" at 70.5% for U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill before 2027, driven by persistent congressional gridlock in the divided 119th Congress and the Trump administration's preference for light-touch federal AI policy. In March 2026, the White House released a National Policy Framework urging innovation-focused legislation with state preemption, but bills like H.R. 8037 (Protect American AI Act) and H.R. 6402 (Ensuring Safe AI) remain stalled in early introduction stages without committee advancement. States like Colorado and Iowa have passed narrower AI measures on chatbots and pricing since early May, filling the federal void amid partisan divides on regulation scope. With midterms looming in November and lame-duck session as the final window, traders see slim odds of bipartisan passage on comprehensive safety rules.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$98,188Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 70.5% for U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill before 2027, driven by persistent congressional gridlock in the divided 119th Congress and the Trump administration's preference for light-touch federal AI policy. In March 2026, the White House released a National Policy Framework urging innovation-focused legislation with state preemption, but bills like H.R. 8037 (Protect American AI Act) and H.R. 6402 (Ensuring Safe AI) remain stalled in early introduction stages without committee advancement. States like Colorado and Iowa have passed narrower AI measures on chatbots and pricing since early May, filling the federal void amid partisan divides on regulation scope. With midterms looming in November and lame-duck session as the final window, traders see slim odds of bipartisan passage on comprehensive safety rules.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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