The Trump administration’s deregulatory approach, including Executive Order 14365 signed in December 2025, has prioritized a minimally burdensome national AI framework and preemption efforts against conflicting state rules. Congress has advanced only narrow measures, such as the TAKE IT DOWN Act on deepfakes, while broader AI safety or accountability bills like the AI Accountability Act remain stalled without floor votes. High volumes of state legislation in 2025–2026 have filled the gap, reducing pressure for federal action, and attempts to impose a multi-year moratorium on state AI regulations were removed during reconciliation. This environment of executive emphasis on innovation over new mandates and limited bipartisan consensus on comprehensive safety requirements underpins trader expectations that no such bill will pass before 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
13% Chance
$101,400 Vol.
$101,400 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
13% Chance
$101,400 Vol.
$101,400 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The Trump administration’s deregulatory approach, including Executive Order 14365 signed in December 2025, has prioritized a minimally burdensome national AI framework and preemption efforts against conflicting state rules. Congress has advanced only narrow measures, such as the TAKE IT DOWN Act on deepfakes, while broader AI safety or accountability bills like the AI Accountability Act remain stalled without floor votes. High volumes of state legislation in 2025–2026 have filled the gap, reducing pressure for federal action, and attempts to impose a multi-year moratorium on state AI regulations were removed during reconciliation. This environment of executive emphasis on innovation over new mandates and limited bipartisan consensus on comprehensive safety requirements underpins trader expectations that no such bill will pass before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volumen
$101,400Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The Trump administration’s deregulatory approach, including Executive Order 14365 signed in December 2025, has prioritized a minimally burdensome national AI framework and preemption efforts against conflicting state rules. Congress has advanced only narrow measures, such as the TAKE IT DOWN Act on deepfakes, while broader AI safety or accountability bills like the AI Accountability Act remain stalled without floor votes. High volumes of state legislation in 2025–2026 have filled the gap, reducing pressure for federal action, and attempts to impose a multi-year moratorium on state AI regulations were removed during reconciliation. This environment of executive emphasis on innovation over new mandates and limited bipartisan consensus on comprehensive safety requirements underpins trader expectations that no such bill will pass before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$101,400Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s deregulatory approach, including Executive Order 14365 signed in December 2025, has prioritized a minimally burdensome national AI framework and preemption efforts against conflicting state rules. Congress has advanced only narrow measures, such as the TAKE IT DOWN Act on deepfakes, while broader AI safety or accountability bills like the AI Accountability Act remain stalled without floor votes. High volumes of state legislation in 2025–2026 have filled the gap, reducing pressure for federal action, and attempts to impose a multi-year moratorium on state AI regulations were removed during reconciliation. This environment of executive emphasis on innovation over new mandates and limited bipartisan consensus on comprehensive safety requirements underpins trader expectations that no such bill will pass before 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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