Recent large earthquakes along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a magnitude 7.7 event near Ende, Indonesia on August 14 and a 7.4 near San José del Palmar, Colombia on August 13, have concentrated trader attention on subduction zones prone to M6.0+ activity. USGS catalogs document several additional M6+ events in the prior week, consistent with the typical global rate of four to six such quakes monthly driven by steady plate motion rather than unusual clustering. Short-term forecasts remain limited by the stochastic nature of fault rupture, with no official alerts beyond probabilistic seismic hazard maps from USGS and similar agencies. Traders track real-time aftershock sequences and daily catalogs through August 31, noting elevated baseline likelihood in Indonesia, the Kermadec Islands, and Alaska relative to stable interiors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWo wird es bis Ende August ein Erdbeben der Stärke 6,0 + geben?
Wo wird es bis Ende August ein Erdbeben der Stärke 6,0 + geben?
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
Indonesien
99%
Japan
34%
Chile
28%
Philippinen
30%
Vereinigte Staaten
16%
Mexiko
23%
$8,611 Vol.
Indonesien
$4,188 Vol.
99%
Japan
$602 Vol.
34%
Chile
$144 Vol.
28%
Philippinen
$1,914 Vol.
30%
Vereinigte Staaten
$1,329 Vol.
16%
Mexiko
$435 Vol.
23%
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between market creation and the end of the listed month (UTC), by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month (UTC). Otherwise, that market resolves "No".
A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.
Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."Recent large earthquakes along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a magnitude 7.7 event near Ende, Indonesia on August 14 and a 7.4 near San José del Palmar, Colombia on August 13, have concentrated trader attention on subduction zones prone to M6.0+ activity. USGS catalogs document several additional M6+ events in the prior week, consistent with the typical global rate of four to six such quakes monthly driven by steady plate motion rather than unusual clustering. Short-term forecasts remain limited by the stochastic nature of fault rupture, with no official alerts beyond probabilistic seismic hazard maps from USGS and similar agencies. Traders track real-time aftershock sequences and daily catalogs through August 31, noting elevated baseline likelihood in Indonesia, the Kermadec Islands, and Alaska relative to stable interiors.
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between market creation and the end of the listed month (UTC), by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month (UTC). Otherwise, that market resolves "No".
A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.
Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.
Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$8,611Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 6:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between market creation and the end of the listed month (UTC), by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month (UTC). Otherwise, that market resolves "No".
A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.
Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."Recent large earthquakes along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a magnitude 7.7 event near Ende, Indonesia on August 14 and a 7.4 near San José del Palmar, Colombia on August 13, have concentrated trader attention on subduction zones prone to M6.0+ activity. USGS catalogs document several additional M6+ events in the prior week, consistent with the typical global rate of four to six such quakes monthly driven by steady plate motion rather than unusual clustering. Short-term forecasts remain limited by the stochastic nature of fault rupture, with no official alerts beyond probabilistic seismic hazard maps from USGS and similar agencies. Traders track real-time aftershock sequences and daily catalogs through August 31, noting elevated baseline likelihood in Indonesia, the Kermadec Islands, and Alaska relative to stable interiors.
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between market creation and the end of the listed month (UTC), by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month (UTC). Otherwise, that market resolves "No".
A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.
Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.
Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."
Volumen
$8,611Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 6:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent large earthquakes along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a magnitude 7.7 event near Ende, Indonesia on August 14 and a 7.4 near San José del Palmar, Colombia on August 13, have concentrated trader attention on subduction zones prone to M6.0+ activity. USGS catalogs document several additional M6+ events in the prior week, consistent with the typical global rate of four to six such quakes monthly driven by steady plate motion rather than unusual clustering. Short-term forecasts remain limited by the stochastic nature of fault rupture, with no official alerts beyond probabilistic seismic hazard maps from USGS and similar agencies. Traders track real-time aftershock sequences and daily catalogs through August 31, noting elevated baseline likelihood in Indonesia, the Kermadec Islands, and Alaska relative to stable interiors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen