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icon for Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Juni das zweitbeste KI-Modell?

Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Juni das zweitbeste KI-Modell?

icon for Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Juni das zweitbeste KI-Modell?

Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Juni das zweitbeste KI-Modell?

Mai 31

Juni 30

Mai 31

Juni 30

Anthropic 75%

Google 18%

OpenAI 6.4%

xAI 2.6%

Polymarket

$400,291 Vol.

Anthropic 75%

Google 18%

OpenAI 6.4%

xAI 2.6%

Polymarket

$400,291 Vol.

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$14,660 Vol.

75%

icon for Google

Google

$5,606 Vol.

18%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$34,197 Vol.

6%

icon for xAI

xAI

$14,881 Vol.

3%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$248,799 Vol.

1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$5,532 Vol.

1%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$6,585 Vol.

1%

icon for Meta

Meta

$4,175 Vol.

1%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$4,912 Vol.

<1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$4,388 Vol.

<1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$9,312 Vol.

<1%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$34,076 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$5,546 Vol.

<1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$4,723 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$2,898 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's April 23 release of GPT-5.5, which quickly topped multiple benchmarks for general reasoning and multimodal tasks, has solidified its position as the leading large language model, shifting trader focus to which competitor will rank second by end of June. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6 variants lead in demonstrated coding and agentic workflow performance on benchmarks such as SWE-bench, supported by their 1-million-token context windows and recent optimizations for long-horizon tasks. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro remains a close contender through its strength in accuracy and reasoning evaluations, while xAI's Grok 4.3 updates have not yet produced comparable benchmark gains. With no major model launches reported in the past two weeks, the market-implied odds reflect sustained competitive positioning ahead of the June resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$400,291
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's April 23 release of GPT-5.5, which quickly topped multiple benchmarks for general reasoning and multimodal tasks, has solidified its position as the leading large language model, shifting trader focus to which competitor will rank second by end of June. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6 variants lead in demonstrated coding and agentic workflow performance on benchmarks such as SWE-bench, supported by their 1-million-token context windows and recent optimizations for long-horizon tasks. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro remains a close contender through its strength in accuracy and reasoning evaluations, while xAI's Grok 4.3 updates have not yet produced comparable benchmark gains. With no major model launches reported in the past two weeks, the market-implied odds reflect sustained competitive positioning ahead of the June resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$400,291
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Juni das zweitbeste KI-Modell?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 15 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Anthropic" mit 75%, gefolgt von „Google" mit 18%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 75¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 75% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Juni das zweitbeste KI-Modell?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $400.3K generiert, seit der Markt am Oct 10, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Juni das zweitbeste KI-Modell?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 15 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Juni das zweitbeste KI-Modell?" ist „Anthropic" mit 75%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 75% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Google" mit 18%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Juni das zweitbeste KI-Modell?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.