Anthropic holds a commanding lead in the Text Arena Math category on lmarena.ai, with its latest Claude models—such as claude-fable-5, claude-opus-5-high, and claude-opus-5-max—occupying the top three spots as of mid-September 2026 with Elo scores above 1523. This dominance stems from consistent outperformance in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, including strong results on competition-level problems and multi-step proofs, outpacing Google’s Gemini variants and OpenAI’s GPT-5 series by meaningful margins. Trader consensus, reflected in the 72.5% implied probability for Anthropic, aligns with these verified leaderboard standings rather than unconfirmed rumors. Key upcoming catalysts include any new model releases or leaderboard updates through October that could alter relative rankings before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAnthropic 73%
Google 10.2%
OpenAI 10%
Alibaba <1%
$36,445 Vol.
$36,445 Vol.
31. Okt. 2026
Anthropic
73%
10%
OpenAI
10%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 73%
Google 10.2%
OpenAI 10%
Alibaba <1%
$36,445 Vol.
$36,445 Vol.
31. Okt. 2026
Anthropic
$14,749 Vol.
73%
$1,675 Vol.
10%
OpenAI
$6,897 Vol.
10%
Alibaba
$960 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$981 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$943 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$836 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,111 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$663 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$682 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$695 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,012 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$694 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$492 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$745 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$653 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$649 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$773 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$662 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$593 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a commanding lead in the Text Arena Math category on lmarena.ai, with its latest Claude models—such as claude-fable-5, claude-opus-5-high, and claude-opus-5-max—occupying the top three spots as of mid-September 2026 with Elo scores above 1523. This dominance stems from consistent outperformance in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, including strong results on competition-level problems and multi-step proofs, outpacing Google’s Gemini variants and OpenAI’s GPT-5 series by meaningful margins. Trader consensus, reflected in the 72.5% implied probability for Anthropic, aligns with these verified leaderboard standings rather than unconfirmed rumors. Key upcoming catalysts include any new model releases or leaderboard updates through October that could alter relative rankings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Volumen
$36,445Enddatum
1. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a commanding lead in the Text Arena Math category on lmarena.ai, with its latest Claude models—such as claude-fable-5, claude-opus-5-high, and claude-opus-5-max—occupying the top three spots as of mid-September 2026 with Elo scores above 1523. This dominance stems from consistent outperformance in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, including strong results on competition-level problems and multi-step proofs, outpacing Google’s Gemini variants and OpenAI’s GPT-5 series by meaningful margins. Trader consensus, reflected in the 72.5% implied probability for Anthropic, aligns with these verified leaderboard standings rather than unconfirmed rumors. Key upcoming catalysts include any new model releases or leaderboard updates through October that could alter relative rankings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$36,445Enddatum
1. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a commanding lead in the Text Arena Math category on lmarena.ai, with its latest Claude models—such as claude-fable-5, claude-opus-5-high, and claude-opus-5-max—occupying the top three spots as of mid-September 2026 with Elo scores above 1523. This dominance stems from consistent outperformance in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, including strong results on competition-level problems and multi-step proofs, outpacing Google’s Gemini variants and OpenAI’s GPT-5 series by meaningful margins. Trader consensus, reflected in the 72.5% implied probability for Anthropic, aligns with these verified leaderboard standings rather than unconfirmed rumors. Key upcoming catalysts include any new model releases or leaderboard updates through October that could alter relative rankings before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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