**Avengers: Doomsday leads market-implied odds for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend at 65.5% because its December 18 release positions it as the next major MCU tentpole after Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-breaking July 31 debut.** Recent box office tracking and trailer momentum have reinforced trader consensus that Doomsday will deliver a massive domestic haul, likely trailing only the Spider-Man film’s historic performance while outpacing earlier 2026 releases. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s confirmed $449 million domestic and $1.155 billion global totals in its first week have solidified it as the year’s opening benchmark, shifting focus to Doomsday as the clear runner-up candidate. Toy Story 5’s June opening, while strong, has already fallen behind in cumulative results, reflected in its near-zero odds, and later titles like Dune: Messiah and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face even steeper competitive barriers. Upcoming catalysts include further Doomsday marketing and any late-year adjustments to release windows that could alter final rankings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWelcher Film hat das zweitgrößte Eröffnungswochenende im Jahr 2026?
Welcher Film hat das zweitgrößte Eröffnungswochenende im Jahr 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$32,321 Vol.
$32,321 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
37%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$32,321 Vol.
$32,321 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$17,969 Vol.
66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$10,024 Vol.
37%
Toy Story 5
$579 Vol.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$482 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$1,987 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday leads market-implied odds for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend at 65.5% because its December 18 release positions it as the next major MCU tentpole after Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-breaking July 31 debut.** Recent box office tracking and trailer momentum have reinforced trader consensus that Doomsday will deliver a massive domestic haul, likely trailing only the Spider-Man film’s historic performance while outpacing earlier 2026 releases. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s confirmed $449 million domestic and $1.155 billion global totals in its first week have solidified it as the year’s opening benchmark, shifting focus to Doomsday as the clear runner-up candidate. Toy Story 5’s June opening, while strong, has already fallen behind in cumulative results, reflected in its near-zero odds, and later titles like Dune: Messiah and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face even steeper competitive barriers. Upcoming catalysts include further Doomsday marketing and any late-year adjustments to release windows that could alter final rankings.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
Volumen
$32,321Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday leads market-implied odds for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend at 65.5% because its December 18 release positions it as the next major MCU tentpole after Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-breaking July 31 debut.** Recent box office tracking and trailer momentum have reinforced trader consensus that Doomsday will deliver a massive domestic haul, likely trailing only the Spider-Man film’s historic performance while outpacing earlier 2026 releases. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s confirmed $449 million domestic and $1.155 billion global totals in its first week have solidified it as the year’s opening benchmark, shifting focus to Doomsday as the clear runner-up candidate. Toy Story 5’s June opening, while strong, has already fallen behind in cumulative results, reflected in its near-zero odds, and later titles like Dune: Messiah and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face even steeper competitive barriers. Upcoming catalysts include further Doomsday marketing and any late-year adjustments to release windows that could alter final rankings.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$32,321Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Avengers: Doomsday leads market-implied odds for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend at 65.5% because its December 18 release positions it as the next major MCU tentpole after Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-breaking July 31 debut.** Recent box office tracking and trailer momentum have reinforced trader consensus that Doomsday will deliver a massive domestic haul, likely trailing only the Spider-Man film’s historic performance while outpacing earlier 2026 releases. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s confirmed $449 million domestic and $1.155 billion global totals in its first week have solidified it as the year’s opening benchmark, shifting focus to Doomsday as the clear runner-up candidate. Toy Story 5’s June opening, while strong, has already fallen behind in cumulative results, reflected in its near-zero odds, and later titles like Dune: Messiah and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face even steeper competitive barriers. Upcoming catalysts include further Doomsday marketing and any late-year adjustments to release windows that could alter final rankings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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