Skip to main content
icon for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

icon for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Angus Taylor 100%

Robbie Katter 100%

Pauline Hanson 100%

Larissa Waters 100%

Polymarket
NEU

Angus Taylor 100%

Robbie Katter 100%

Pauline Hanson 100%

Larissa Waters 100%

Polymarket
NEU

Angus Taylor

$0 Vol.

100%

Robbie Katter

$0 Vol.

100%

Pauline Hanson

$0 Vol.

100%

Larissa Waters

$0 Vol.

100%

Anthony Albanese

$0 Vol.

100%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extended timeline until Australia's next federal election, due by 2028, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around multiple candidates as traders weigh long-term variables. Incumbent Anthony Albanese leads a Labor government focused on economic and tax measures amid ongoing parliamentary scrutiny, while the Liberal-National Coalition under Angus Taylor positions itself as the primary challenger. Minor-party figures such as Pauline Hanson also factor into the field. This balance reflects the scope for leadership transitions, shifting voter sentiment in key states, and policy outcomes to reshape party standings before the contest begins, consistent with historical patterns where distant elections produce fluid assessments.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
23. Sep. 2028
Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extended timeline until Australia's next federal election, due by 2028, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around multiple candidates as traders weigh long-term variables. Incumbent Anthony Albanese leads a Labor government focused on economic and tax measures amid ongoing parliamentary scrutiny, while the Liberal-National Coalition under Angus Taylor positions itself as the primary challenger. Minor-party figures such as Pauline Hanson also factor into the field. This balance reflects the scope for leadership transitions, shifting voter sentiment in key states, and policy outcomes to reshape party standings before the contest begins, consistent with historical patterns where distant elections produce fluid assessments.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
23. Sep. 2028
Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Angus Taylor" mit 50%, gefolgt von „Robbie Katter" mit 50%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 50¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jun 10, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " ist „Angus Taylor" mit 50%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Robbie Katter" mit 50%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.