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Politik·FDA

Wen wird Trump als nächsten FDA-Kommissar bekannt geben?

icon for Wen wird Trump als nächsten FDA-Kommissar bekannt geben?
Politik·FDA

Wen wird Trump als nächsten FDA-Kommissar bekannt geben?

Kyle Diamantas 53%

No announcement by December 31 21.3%

Brett Giroir 4.0%

Stephen Hahn 4%

Polymarket
NEU

Kyle Diamantas 53%

No announcement by December 31 21.3%

Brett Giroir 4.0%

Stephen Hahn 4%

Polymarket
NEU

Kyle Diamantas

$1,525 Vol.

53%

Stephen Hahn

$976 Vol.

4%

Brett Giroir

$1,510 Vol.

4%

Grace Graham

$1,893 Vol.

3%

Sara Brenner

$849 Vol.

3%

No announcement by December 31

$533 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments have elevated Kyle Diamantas to the forefront of trader expectations for Trump's FDA commissioner announcement. Makary's resignation in mid-May created an immediate vacancy, prompting the president to designate Diamantas, then deputy commissioner for food, as acting head via public statement. This internal elevation, combined with his established liaison role across HHS and the White House, has driven the 52.5% market share, while other named candidates remain distant due to lack of comparable recent signals. The 18.9% probability attached to no announcement by year-end accounts for the deliberate pace of Senate-confirmed appointments and the administration's reported review of multiple profiles aligned with regulatory priorities.

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner.

Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,286
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2026, 7:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments have elevated Kyle Diamantas to the forefront of trader expectations for Trump's FDA commissioner announcement. Makary's resignation in mid-May created an immediate vacancy, prompting the president to designate Diamantas, then deputy commissioner for food, as acting head via public statement. This internal elevation, combined with his established liaison role across HHS and the White House, has driven the 52.5% market share, while other named candidates remain distant due to lack of comparable recent signals. The 18.9% probability attached to no announcement by year-end accounts for the deliberate pace of Senate-confirmed appointments and the administration's reported review of multiple profiles aligned with regulatory priorities.

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner.

Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,286
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2026, 7:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wen wird Trump als nächsten FDA-Kommissar bekannt geben?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Kyle Diamantas" mit 53%, gefolgt von „No announcement by December 31" mit 21%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 53¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wen wird Trump als nächsten FDA-Kommissar bekannt geben?" ist „Kyle Diamantas" mit 53%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „No announcement by December 31" mit 21%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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