Figure AI’s ongoing livestream of F.03 humanoid robots performing continuous package sorting has driven the 82.5% market-implied odds for uninterrupted operation through the May 21 deadline. The fleet, running fully autonomously via the Helix-02 large language model for real-time perception, grasping, and barcode scanning, has already logged more than 167 hours and 209,000 packages with no failures as of May 20. Recent manufacturing gains at BotQ, now delivering one robot per hour, have expanded the test fleet while maintaining stable performance at human-like speeds. With less than 24 hours remaining, traders view the short remaining window and demonstrated endurance as the dominant factors supporting high confidence in reaching the cutoff without interruption.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
NEU
NEU
21. Mai 2026
Ja
NEU
NEU
21. Mai 2026
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s ongoing livestream of F.03 humanoid robots performing continuous package sorting has driven the 82.5% market-implied odds for uninterrupted operation through the May 21 deadline. The fleet, running fully autonomously via the Helix-02 large language model for real-time perception, grasping, and barcode scanning, has already logged more than 167 hours and 209,000 packages with no failures as of May 20. Recent manufacturing gains at BotQ, now delivering one robot per hour, have expanded the test fleet while maintaining stable performance at human-like speeds. With less than 24 hours remaining, traders view the short remaining window and demonstrated endurance as the dominant factors supporting high confidence in reaching the cutoff without interruption.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ET
Volumen
$3,038Enddatum
21. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkakResolver
0x65070BE91...Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s ongoing livestream of F.03 humanoid robots performing continuous package sorting has driven the 82.5% market-implied odds for uninterrupted operation through the May 21 deadline. The fleet, running fully autonomously via the Helix-02 large language model for real-time perception, grasping, and barcode scanning, has already logged more than 167 hours and 209,000 packages with no failures as of May 20. Recent manufacturing gains at BotQ, now delivering one robot per hour, have expanded the test fleet while maintaining stable performance at human-like speeds. With less than 24 hours remaining, traders view the short remaining window and demonstrated endurance as the dominant factors supporting high confidence in reaching the cutoff without interruption.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,038Enddatum
21. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkakResolver
0x65070BE91...Figure AI’s ongoing livestream of F.03 humanoid robots performing continuous package sorting has driven the 82.5% market-implied odds for uninterrupted operation through the May 21 deadline. The fleet, running fully autonomously via the Helix-02 large language model for real-time perception, grasping, and barcode scanning, has already logged more than 167 hours and 209,000 packages with no failures as of May 20. Recent manufacturing gains at BotQ, now delivering one robot per hour, have expanded the test fleet while maintaining stable performance at human-like speeds. With less than 24 hours remaining, traders view the short remaining window and demonstrated endurance as the dominant factors supporting high confidence in reaching the cutoff without interruption.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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