Argentina’s shift to a managed crawling band regime since January 2026, with monthly adjustments tied to lagged inflation, has anchored trader expectations for moderated depreciation through year-end 2026. Central bank dollar purchases exceeding $5.5 billion year-to-date, supported by the April IMF staff-level agreement unlocking a $1 billion disbursement, reinforce reserve accumulation and limit sharp peso moves. Market-implied odds favor outcomes below 1,700 as fiscal consolidation and external financing access reduce devaluation pressure, though persistent 30% inflation projections and debt maturities introduce upside risks to the exchange rate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$18,372 Vol.
$18,372 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1600,00
39%
1600,00–1699,99
17%
1700,00–1799,99
11%
1800,00–1899,99
4%
1900,00–1999,99
2%
2000,00+
7%
$18,372 Vol.
$18,372 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1600,00
$1,911 Vol.
39%
1600,00–1699,99
$1,465 Vol.
17%
1700,00–1799,99
$1,192 Vol.
11%
1800,00–1899,99
$1,114 Vol.
4%
1900,00–1999,99
$11,260 Vol.
2%
2000,00+
$1,430 Vol.
7%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s shift to a managed crawling band regime since January 2026, with monthly adjustments tied to lagged inflation, has anchored trader expectations for moderated depreciation through year-end 2026. Central bank dollar purchases exceeding $5.5 billion year-to-date, supported by the April IMF staff-level agreement unlocking a $1 billion disbursement, reinforce reserve accumulation and limit sharp peso moves. Market-implied odds favor outcomes below 1,700 as fiscal consolidation and external financing access reduce devaluation pressure, though persistent 30% inflation projections and debt maturities introduce upside risks to the exchange rate.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$18,372Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s shift to a managed crawling band regime since January 2026, with monthly adjustments tied to lagged inflation, has anchored trader expectations for moderated depreciation through year-end 2026. Central bank dollar purchases exceeding $5.5 billion year-to-date, supported by the April IMF staff-level agreement unlocking a $1 billion disbursement, reinforce reserve accumulation and limit sharp peso moves. Market-implied odds favor outcomes below 1,700 as fiscal consolidation and external financing access reduce devaluation pressure, though persistent 30% inflation projections and debt maturities introduce upside risks to the exchange rate.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$18,372Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s shift to a managed crawling band regime since January 2026, with monthly adjustments tied to lagged inflation, has anchored trader expectations for moderated depreciation through year-end 2026. Central bank dollar purchases exceeding $5.5 billion year-to-date, supported by the April IMF staff-level agreement unlocking a $1 billion disbursement, reinforce reserve accumulation and limit sharp peso moves. Market-implied odds favor outcomes below 1,700 as fiscal consolidation and external financing access reduce devaluation pressure, though persistent 30% inflation projections and debt maturities introduce upside risks to the exchange rate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes