Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, near 1,497 in mid-August 2026, reflects the Milei administration’s crawling-band regime, which expands the trading corridor at the prior two-month inflation rate to support reserve accumulation while curbing excessive depreciation. Annual inflation has fallen sharply from over 200% to roughly 30% or lower, with monthly readings near 2% recently, alongside sustained fiscal surpluses and GDP growth forecasts of 3–4% for the year. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus favoring limited further weakening, pricing an 76.5% probability the year-end rate stays below 1,700. Key near-term catalysts include BCRA reserve purchases, debt-service outflows, and any adjustments to the inflation-linked band width that could alter the pace of peso adjustment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$21,601 Vol.
$21,601 Vol.
30 dic 2026
<1600,00
44%
1600,00–1699,99
33%
1700,00–1799,99
8%
1800,00–1899,99
7%
1900,00–1999,99
1%
2000,00+
5%
$21,601 Vol.
$21,601 Vol.
30 dic 2026
<1600,00
$2,450 Vol.
44%
1600,00–1699,99
$2,015 Vol.
33%
1700,00–1799,99
$2,198 Vol.
8%
1800,00–1899,99
$1,626 Vol.
7%
1900,00–1999,99
$11,566 Vol.
1%
2000,00+
$1,747 Vol.
5%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, near 1,497 in mid-August 2026, reflects the Milei administration’s crawling-band regime, which expands the trading corridor at the prior two-month inflation rate to support reserve accumulation while curbing excessive depreciation. Annual inflation has fallen sharply from over 200% to roughly 30% or lower, with monthly readings near 2% recently, alongside sustained fiscal surpluses and GDP growth forecasts of 3–4% for the year. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus favoring limited further weakening, pricing an 76.5% probability the year-end rate stays below 1,700. Key near-term catalysts include BCRA reserve purchases, debt-service outflows, and any adjustments to the inflation-linked band width that could alter the pace of peso adjustment.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$21,601Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, near 1,497 in mid-August 2026, reflects the Milei administration’s crawling-band regime, which expands the trading corridor at the prior two-month inflation rate to support reserve accumulation while curbing excessive depreciation. Annual inflation has fallen sharply from over 200% to roughly 30% or lower, with monthly readings near 2% recently, alongside sustained fiscal surpluses and GDP growth forecasts of 3–4% for the year. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus favoring limited further weakening, pricing an 76.5% probability the year-end rate stays below 1,700. Key near-term catalysts include BCRA reserve purchases, debt-service outflows, and any adjustments to the inflation-linked band width that could alter the pace of peso adjustment.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$21,601Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, near 1,497 in mid-August 2026, reflects the Milei administration’s crawling-band regime, which expands the trading corridor at the prior two-month inflation rate to support reserve accumulation while curbing excessive depreciation. Annual inflation has fallen sharply from over 200% to roughly 30% or lower, with monthly readings near 2% recently, alongside sustained fiscal surpluses and GDP growth forecasts of 3–4% for the year. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus favoring limited further weakening, pricing an 76.5% probability the year-end rate stays below 1,700. Key near-term catalysts include BCRA reserve purchases, debt-service outflows, and any adjustments to the inflation-linked band width that could alter the pace of peso adjustment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes