Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate currently trades near 1,395 amid the Milei administration’s January 2026 shift to a monthly inflation-adjusted crawling band designed to rebuild reserves and ease external debt pressures exceeding $19 billion. With annualized inflation still near 30 percent and monthly readings around 2–3 percent, the peso faces steady depreciation pressure despite IMF disbursements and improving reserve accumulation. Market-implied odds place the highest probability (44.5 percent) on a close above 1,600 by December 2026, reflecting trader expectations that the band will widen faster than earlier forecasts of 1,468–1,550. Upcoming catalysts include further BCRA reserve purchases, regulated price adjustments, and any acceleration in disinflation that could narrow the band’s expansion path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1600.00+ 44%
1400,00–1449,99 19.1%
1550,00–1599,99 19.0%
1500,00–1549,99 17.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
<1250,00
2%
1250,00–1299,99
5%
1300,00–1349,99
5%
1350,00–1399,99
12%
1400,00–1449,99
11%
1450,00–1499,99
3%
1500,00–1549,99
23%
1550,00–1599,99
24%
1600.00+
44%
1600.00+ 44%
1400,00–1449,99 19.1%
1550,00–1599,99 19.0%
1500,00–1549,99 17.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
<1250,00
$419 Vol.
2%
1250,00–1299,99
$577 Vol.
5%
1300,00–1349,99
$504 Vol.
5%
1350,00–1399,99
$578 Vol.
12%
1400,00–1449,99
$853 Vol.
11%
1450,00–1499,99
$1,026 Vol.
3%
1500,00–1549,99
$827 Vol.
23%
1550,00–1599,99
$551 Vol.
24%
1600.00+
$1,623 Vol.
44%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate currently trades near 1,395 amid the Milei administration’s January 2026 shift to a monthly inflation-adjusted crawling band designed to rebuild reserves and ease external debt pressures exceeding $19 billion. With annualized inflation still near 30 percent and monthly readings around 2–3 percent, the peso faces steady depreciation pressure despite IMF disbursements and improving reserve accumulation. Market-implied odds place the highest probability (44.5 percent) on a close above 1,600 by December 2026, reflecting trader expectations that the band will widen faster than earlier forecasts of 1,468–1,550. Upcoming catalysts include further BCRA reserve purchases, regulated price adjustments, and any acceleration in disinflation that could narrow the band’s expansion path.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Volumen
$6,959Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate currently trades near 1,395 amid the Milei administration’s January 2026 shift to a monthly inflation-adjusted crawling band designed to rebuild reserves and ease external debt pressures exceeding $19 billion. With annualized inflation still near 30 percent and monthly readings around 2–3 percent, the peso faces steady depreciation pressure despite IMF disbursements and improving reserve accumulation. Market-implied odds place the highest probability (44.5 percent) on a close above 1,600 by December 2026, reflecting trader expectations that the band will widen faster than earlier forecasts of 1,468–1,550. Upcoming catalysts include further BCRA reserve purchases, regulated price adjustments, and any acceleration in disinflation that could narrow the band’s expansion path.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$6,959Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate currently trades near 1,395 amid the Milei administration’s January 2026 shift to a monthly inflation-adjusted crawling band designed to rebuild reserves and ease external debt pressures exceeding $19 billion. With annualized inflation still near 30 percent and monthly readings around 2–3 percent, the peso faces steady depreciation pressure despite IMF disbursements and improving reserve accumulation. Market-implied odds place the highest probability (44.5 percent) on a close above 1,600 by December 2026, reflecting trader expectations that the band will widen faster than earlier forecasts of 1,468–1,550. Upcoming catalysts include further BCRA reserve purchases, regulated price adjustments, and any acceleration in disinflation that could narrow the band’s expansion path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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