Recent April 2026 communications from the Bank of Russia, including the 50-basis-point cut of the key rate to 14.5 percent, have anchored trader expectations for another reduction at the July meeting. With annual inflation at 5.7 percent and underlying price growth holding near 4–5 percent annualized, the central bank’s revised 2026 average rate corridor of 14.0–14.5 percent signals continued easing as disinflation advances toward the 4 percent target. Cooling domestic demand and moderating inflation expectations underpin the 74 percent market-implied probability of a decrease, while pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus sustain the 21 percent no-change odds. The June 19 meeting and upcoming inflation releases remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBank of Russia decision in July?
Decrease 74%
No Change 21%
Increase 3.7%
Decrease
74%
No Change
21%
Increase
4%
Decrease 74%
No Change 21%
Increase 3.7%
Decrease
74%
No Change
21%
Increase
4%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 communications from the Bank of Russia, including the 50-basis-point cut of the key rate to 14.5 percent, have anchored trader expectations for another reduction at the July meeting. With annual inflation at 5.7 percent and underlying price growth holding near 4–5 percent annualized, the central bank’s revised 2026 average rate corridor of 14.0–14.5 percent signals continued easing as disinflation advances toward the 4 percent target. Cooling domestic demand and moderating inflation expectations underpin the 74 percent market-implied probability of a decrease, while pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus sustain the 21 percent no-change odds. The June 19 meeting and upcoming inflation releases remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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