The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as a revenue offset in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill and effective for tax year 2026, faces entrenched procedural barriers to full repeal by December 31, 2026. Bipartisan measures such as the FULL HOUSE Act have encountered committee blocks, including recent House Rules Committee rejection of related fast-track efforts, while debt-ceiling and appropriations negotiations prioritize other offsets. Industry lobbying, highlighted by recent appeals from figures like UFC CEO Dana White to the administration, has generated visibility but produced no floor votes or reconciliation inclusion. Traders therefore price a 64.5% probability on "No," reflecting the narrow legislative window, divided congressional dynamics, and absence of confirmed momentum before midterm pressures intensify.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$68,293 Vol.
$68,293 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$68,293 Vol.
$68,293 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as a revenue offset in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill and effective for tax year 2026, faces entrenched procedural barriers to full repeal by December 31, 2026. Bipartisan measures such as the FULL HOUSE Act have encountered committee blocks, including recent House Rules Committee rejection of related fast-track efforts, while debt-ceiling and appropriations negotiations prioritize other offsets. Industry lobbying, highlighted by recent appeals from figures like UFC CEO Dana White to the administration, has generated visibility but produced no floor votes or reconciliation inclusion. Traders therefore price a 64.5% probability on "No," reflecting the narrow legislative window, divided congressional dynamics, and absence of confirmed momentum before midterm pressures intensify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volumen
$68,293Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as a revenue offset in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill and effective for tax year 2026, faces entrenched procedural barriers to full repeal by December 31, 2026. Bipartisan measures such as the FULL HOUSE Act have encountered committee blocks, including recent House Rules Committee rejection of related fast-track efforts, while debt-ceiling and appropriations negotiations prioritize other offsets. Industry lobbying, highlighted by recent appeals from figures like UFC CEO Dana White to the administration, has generated visibility but produced no floor votes or reconciliation inclusion. Traders therefore price a 64.5% probability on "No," reflecting the narrow legislative window, divided congressional dynamics, and absence of confirmed momentum before midterm pressures intensify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$68,293Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as a revenue offset in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill and effective for tax year 2026, faces entrenched procedural barriers to full repeal by December 31, 2026. Bipartisan measures such as the FULL HOUSE Act have encountered committee blocks, including recent House Rules Committee rejection of related fast-track efforts, while debt-ceiling and appropriations negotiations prioritize other offsets. Industry lobbying, highlighted by recent appeals from figures like UFC CEO Dana White to the administration, has generated visibility but produced no floor votes or reconciliation inclusion. Traders therefore price a 64.5% probability on "No," reflecting the narrow legislative window, divided congressional dynamics, and absence of confirmed momentum before midterm pressures intensify.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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