The One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 made permanent key business provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, including 100% bonus depreciation, R&D expensing, and interest deduction rules, while leaving the statutory corporate rate unchanged at 21%. No subsequent legislation or administration action has advanced a further rate reduction, despite earlier campaign proposals for a targeted 15% rate on domestic manufacturing. With the 2026 midterms approaching and fiscal pressures from existing extensions already enacted, congressional priorities have shifted away from additional corporate rate cuts. Traders view these completed extensions and the absence of new rate-reduction bills as the dominant factors sustaining the strong consensus against further cuts materializing before 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
7% probabilidad
$15,994 Vol.
$15,994 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
7% probabilidad
$15,994 Vol.
$15,994 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 made permanent key business provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, including 100% bonus depreciation, R&D expensing, and interest deduction rules, while leaving the statutory corporate rate unchanged at 21%. No subsequent legislation or administration action has advanced a further rate reduction, despite earlier campaign proposals for a targeted 15% rate on domestic manufacturing. With the 2026 midterms approaching and fiscal pressures from existing extensions already enacted, congressional priorities have shifted away from additional corporate rate cuts. Traders view these completed extensions and the absence of new rate-reduction bills as the dominant factors sustaining the strong consensus against further cuts materializing before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Volumen
$15,994Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 made permanent key business provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, including 100% bonus depreciation, R&D expensing, and interest deduction rules, while leaving the statutory corporate rate unchanged at 21%. No subsequent legislation or administration action has advanced a further rate reduction, despite earlier campaign proposals for a targeted 15% rate on domestic manufacturing. With the 2026 midterms approaching and fiscal pressures from existing extensions already enacted, congressional priorities have shifted away from additional corporate rate cuts. Traders view these completed extensions and the absence of new rate-reduction bills as the dominant factors sustaining the strong consensus against further cuts materializing before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volumen
$15,994Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 made permanent key business provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, including 100% bonus depreciation, R&D expensing, and interest deduction rules, while leaving the statutory corporate rate unchanged at 21%. No subsequent legislation or administration action has advanced a further rate reduction, despite earlier campaign proposals for a targeted 15% rate on domestic manufacturing. With the 2026 midterms approaching and fiscal pressures from existing extensions already enacted, congressional priorities have shifted away from additional corporate rate cuts. Traders view these completed extensions and the absence of new rate-reduction bills as the dominant factors sustaining the strong consensus against further cuts materializing before 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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