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icon for ¿Impuesto multimillonario único sobre el patrimonio en la boleta electoral de California?
Elecciones·Impuestos

¿Impuesto multimillonario único sobre el patrimonio en la boleta electoral de California?

icon for ¿Impuesto multimillonario único sobre el patrimonio en la boleta electoral de California?
Elecciones·Impuestos

¿Impuesto multimillonario único sobre el patrimonio en la boleta electoral de California?

Sí

88% probabilidad
Polymarket

$130,590 Vol.

Sí

88% probabilidad
Polymarket

$130,590 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Proponents of California's one-time 5 percent wealth tax on billionaires, backed by SEIU-United Healthcare Workers West, recently submitted more than 1.55 million signatures—nearly double the 875,000 required—to qualify the measure for the November 2026 ballot. State officials are reviewing the petitions and expected to confirm qualification by late June. The initiative targets residents with net worth above $1 billion as of January 1, 2026, to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance programs amid federal spending reductions. This rapid signature threshold achievement has shaped trader consensus around an 87.5 percent probability of ballot placement, though verification outcomes and any legal challenges could still alter the timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$130,590
Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Proponents of California's one-time 5 percent wealth tax on billionaires, backed by SEIU-United Healthcare Workers West, recently submitted more than 1.55 million signatures—nearly double the 875,000 required—to qualify the measure for the November 2026 ballot. State officials are reviewing the petitions and expected to confirm qualification by late June. The initiative targets residents with net worth above $1 billion as of January 1, 2026, to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance programs amid federal spending reductions. This rapid signature threshold achievement has shaped trader consensus around an 87.5 percent probability of ballot placement, though verification outcomes and any legal challenges could still alter the timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$130,590
Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Impuesto multimillonario único sobre el patrimonio en la boleta electoral de California?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Impuesto único sobre la riqueza de los multimillonarios en la boleta electoral de California?" con 88%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 88¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 88% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Impuesto multimillonario único sobre el patrimonio en la boleta electoral de California?" ha generado $130.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 24, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Impuesto multimillonario único sobre el patrimonio en la boleta electoral de California?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Impuesto multimillonario único sobre el patrimonio en la boleta electoral de California?" es "¿Impuesto único sobre la riqueza de los multimillonarios en la boleta electoral de California?" con 88%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 88% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Impuesto multimillonario único sobre el patrimonio en la boleta electoral de California?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.