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icon for ¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 19 al 26 de mayo de 2026?

¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 19 al 26 de mayo de 2026?

icon for ¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 19 al 26 de mayo de 2026?

¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 19 al 26 de mayo de 2026?

20-39 75.5%

100-119 31%

<20 22%

160-179 17%

Polymarket
NUEVO

20-39 75.5%

100-119 31%

<20 22%

160-179 17%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<20

$10 Vol.

22%

20-39

$20 Vol.

76%

40-59

$68 Vol.

3%

60-79

$10 Vol.

1%

80-99

$10 Vol.

1%

100-119

$144 Vol.

31%

120-139

$139 Vol.

1%

140-159

$139 Vol.

1%

160-179

$144 Vol.

17%

180-199

$139 Vol.

9%

200+

$139 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, the current NYC mayor, maintains a steady posting pace on X through the official @NYCMayor account that has produced 20-39 posts in each of the most recent weekly windows. Traders price the 20-39 outcome highest because this range aligns with his observed average of roughly three posts per day, covering routine policy updates, announcements, and constituent engagement without spikes from major events. The 23.5% probability assigned to fewer than 20 posts reflects the possibility of a quieter stretch around Memorial Day weekend, while smaller shares for 40-plus outcomes account for any surge tied to scheduled press conferences or legislative developments in the coming days. This distribution mirrors the pattern seen in prior weekly markets for the same account.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$960
Fecha de finalización
26 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, the current NYC mayor, maintains a steady posting pace on X through the official @NYCMayor account that has produced 20-39 posts in each of the most recent weekly windows. Traders price the 20-39 outcome highest because this range aligns with his observed average of roughly three posts per day, covering routine policy updates, announcements, and constituent engagement without spikes from major events. The 23.5% probability assigned to fewer than 20 posts reflects the possibility of a quieter stretch around Memorial Day weekend, while smaller shares for 40-plus outcomes account for any surge tied to scheduled press conferences or legislative developments in the coming days. This distribution mirrors the pattern seen in prior weekly markets for the same account.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$960
Fecha de finalización
26 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 19 al 26 de mayo de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "20-39" con 76%, seguido de "<20" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 76¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 19 al 26 de mayo de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 16, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 19 al 26 de mayo de 2026?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 19 al 26 de mayo de 2026?" es "20-39" con 76%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<20" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 19 al 26 de mayo de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.