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icon for Elección parcial de Clacton: % de votos del conde Binface
Política·Reino Unido

Elección parcial de Clacton: % de votos del conde Binface

icon for Elección parcial de Clacton: % de votos del conde Binface
Política·Reino Unido

Elección parcial de Clacton: % de votos del conde Binface

Binface 10–20% 50%

Binface 20-30% 36%

Binface <10% 10%

Binface 30–40% 2.6%

Polymarket

$399,024 Vol.

Binface 10–20% 50%

Binface 20-30% 36%

Binface <10% 10%

Binface 30–40% 2.6%

Polymarket

$399,024 Vol.

Binface <10%

$168,661 Vol.

10%

Binface 10–20%

$57,717 Vol.

50%

Binface 20-30%

$74,485 Vol.

36%

Binface 30–40%

$63,307 Vol.

3%

Binface 40%+

$40,994 Vol.

1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation as Reform UK MP, features a record 34 candidates after Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Greens opted to boycott. This has elevated Count Binface, the perennial satirical candidate, as the most visible challenger and focal point of media coverage and limited tactical discussion. Local polling, including a Survation survey, places him around 20% while Farage leads substantially on first-preference support in the constituency. Trader pricing reflects Binface’s boosted profile from the unusual contest dynamics and campaign visibility, balanced against the structural limits of a novelty candidacy and historical patterns for such entrants in UK parliamentary votes. No major new shifts have altered this positioning in the final days.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volumen
$399,024
Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation as Reform UK MP, features a record 34 candidates after Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Greens opted to boycott. This has elevated Count Binface, the perennial satirical candidate, as the most visible challenger and focal point of media coverage and limited tactical discussion. Local polling, including a Survation survey, places him around 20% while Farage leads substantially on first-preference support in the constituency. Trader pricing reflects Binface’s boosted profile from the unusual contest dynamics and campaign visibility, balanced against the structural limits of a novelty candidacy and historical patterns for such entrants in UK parliamentary votes. No major new shifts have altered this positioning in the final days.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volumen
$399,024
Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección parcial de Clacton: % de votos del conde Binface" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Binface 10–20%" con 50%, seguido de "Binface 20-30%" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elección parcial de Clacton: % de votos del conde Binface" ha generado $399K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 8, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elección parcial de Clacton: % de votos del conde Binface", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección parcial de Clacton: % de votos del conde Binface" es "Binface 10–20%" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Binface 20-30%" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección parcial de Clacton: % de votos del conde Binface" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.