Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic data that shows no acute distress warranting unscheduled action. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy costs amid geopolitical tensions, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% with modest nonfarm payroll gains of 115,000. The FOMC maintained the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% in late April, aligning with bank forecasts like BofA's pushing cuts to mid-2027. Absent a sharp labor market deterioration or financial crisis, scheduled meetings remain the policy pathway; watch May CPI on June 10 for inflation trajectory updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$103,984 Vol.
$103,984 Vol.
Sí
$103,984 Vol.
$103,984 Vol.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic data that shows no acute distress warranting unscheduled action. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy costs amid geopolitical tensions, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% with modest nonfarm payroll gains of 115,000. The FOMC maintained the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% in late April, aligning with bank forecasts like BofA's pushing cuts to mid-2027. Absent a sharp labor market deterioration or financial crisis, scheduled meetings remain the policy pathway; watch May CPI on June 10 for inflation trajectory updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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