Mexico's co-host advantage, with the Group A opener against South Africa on June 11 in high-altitude Mexico City and most matches on home soil, anchors their 51.5% implied probability as top trader consensus, bolstered by a 15th-place FIFA ranking and solid pre-tournament friendlies like a 1-1 draw versus Belgium. Czechia at 25.5% reflects recent squad boosts, including Adam Hlozek's return from injury on May 12 and an experienced core for their World Cup comeback, positioning them ahead of South Korea (19%), hampered by Son Heung-min's ongoing fitness concerns and altitude acclimation risks. South Africa lags at 5.7% as the lowest-ranked side despite Bafana Bafana's cohesive preliminary roster.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador del Grupo A de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA
Ganador del Grupo A de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA
México 52%
Chequia 26%
Corea del Sur 19%
Sudáfrica 5.6%
$291,149 Vol.
$291,149 Vol.
México
52%
Chequia
26%
Corea del Sur
19%
Sudáfrica
6%
México 52%
Chequia 26%
Corea del Sur 19%
Sudáfrica 5.6%
$291,149 Vol.
$291,149 Vol.
México
52%
Chequia
26%
Corea del Sur
19%
Sudáfrica
6%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mexico's co-host advantage, with the Group A opener against South Africa on June 11 in high-altitude Mexico City and most matches on home soil, anchors their 51.5% implied probability as top trader consensus, bolstered by a 15th-place FIFA ranking and solid pre-tournament friendlies like a 1-1 draw versus Belgium. Czechia at 25.5% reflects recent squad boosts, including Adam Hlozek's return from injury on May 12 and an experienced core for their World Cup comeback, positioning them ahead of South Korea (19%), hampered by Son Heung-min's ongoing fitness concerns and altitude acclimation risks. South Africa lags at 5.7% as the lowest-ranked side despite Bafana Bafana's cohesive preliminary roster.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes