Recent NWS and model guidance shows Chicago under a persistent heat wave with strong high pressure and southwest flow favoring highs in the mid- to upper-90s on July 2, well above the 84°F climatological normal. Official forecasts currently converge on 96–97°F, though ensemble spreads and subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary timing create the close contest between 94–95°F and 92–93°F buckets. Heat indices near 105°F underscore the thermodynamic setup, while historical July extremes above 99°F remain possible only with minimal mixing. Traders weigh the latest model runs and any revised NWS updates through tomorrow morning as the key variables that could shift resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on July 2?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 2?
94-95°F 36%
92-93°F 27%
96-97°F 23%
98-99°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 jul 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
27%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 36%
92-93°F 27%
96-97°F 23%
98-99°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 jul 2026
87°F or below
$86 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$62 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$171 Vol.
27%
94-95°F
$131 Vol.
36%
96-97°F
$297 Vol.
23%
98-99°F
$73 Vol.
9%
100-101°F
$147 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$791 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$109 Vol.
1%
106°F or higher
$828 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and model guidance shows Chicago under a persistent heat wave with strong high pressure and southwest flow favoring highs in the mid- to upper-90s on July 2, well above the 84°F climatological normal. Official forecasts currently converge on 96–97°F, though ensemble spreads and subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary timing create the close contest between 94–95°F and 92–93°F buckets. Heat indices near 105°F underscore the thermodynamic setup, while historical July extremes above 99°F remain possible only with minimal mixing. Traders weigh the latest model runs and any revised NWS updates through tomorrow morning as the key variables that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$2,705Fecha de finalización
2 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and model guidance shows Chicago under a persistent heat wave with strong high pressure and southwest flow favoring highs in the mid- to upper-90s on July 2, well above the 84°F climatological normal. Official forecasts currently converge on 96–97°F, though ensemble spreads and subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary timing create the close contest between 94–95°F and 92–93°F buckets. Heat indices near 105°F underscore the thermodynamic setup, while historical July extremes above 99°F remain possible only with minimal mixing. Traders weigh the latest model runs and any revised NWS updates through tomorrow morning as the key variables that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,705Fecha de finalización
2 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NWS and model guidance shows Chicago under a persistent heat wave with strong high pressure and southwest flow favoring highs in the mid- to upper-90s on July 2, well above the 84°F climatological normal. Official forecasts currently converge on 96–97°F, though ensemble spreads and subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary timing create the close contest between 94–95°F and 92–93°F buckets. Heat indices near 105°F underscore the thermodynamic setup, while historical July extremes above 99°F remain possible only with minimal mixing. Traders weigh the latest model runs and any revised NWS updates through tomorrow morning as the key variables that could shift resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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