Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters produces mild July maxima that historically average 22–24°C, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities around 22–24°C. The onset of the rainy season drives afternoon convective clouds and showers that frequently limit peak heating, while variable steering patterns and model spread in short-range forecasts create genuine uncertainty over exact daily highs. Recent conditions show typical early-July moisture without anomalous warming, reinforcing trader consensus on near-normal outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs from official meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the key data refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 2?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 2?
23°C 31%
24°C 25%
22°C 24%
25°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 jul 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
24%
23°C
31%
24°C
25%
25°C
12%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
3%
23°C 31%
24°C 25%
22°C 24%
25°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 jul 2026
17°C or below
$269 Vol.
1%
18°C
$124 Vol.
1%
19°C
$185 Vol.
2%
20°C
$34 Vol.
5%
21°C
$33 Vol.
6%
22°C
$11 Vol.
24%
23°C
$1,861 Vol.
31%
24°C
$16 Vol.
25%
25°C
$145 Vol.
12%
26°C
$7 Vol.
3%
27°C or higher
$13 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters produces mild July maxima that historically average 22–24°C, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities around 22–24°C. The onset of the rainy season drives afternoon convective clouds and showers that frequently limit peak heating, while variable steering patterns and model spread in short-range forecasts create genuine uncertainty over exact daily highs. Recent conditions show typical early-July moisture without anomalous warming, reinforcing trader consensus on near-normal outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs from official meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the key data refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$2,688Fecha de finalización
2 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters produces mild July maxima that historically average 22–24°C, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities around 22–24°C. The onset of the rainy season drives afternoon convective clouds and showers that frequently limit peak heating, while variable steering patterns and model spread in short-range forecasts create genuine uncertainty over exact daily highs. Recent conditions show typical early-July moisture without anomalous warming, reinforcing trader consensus on near-normal outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs from official meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the key data refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,688Fecha de finalización
2 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters produces mild July maxima that historically average 22–24°C, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities around 22–24°C. The onset of the rainy season drives afternoon convective clouds and showers that frequently limit peak heating, while variable steering patterns and model spread in short-range forecasts create genuine uncertainty over exact daily highs. Recent conditions show typical early-July moisture without anomalous warming, reinforcing trader consensus on near-normal outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs from official meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the key data refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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