Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a post-holiday cooldown in Chicago, with northerly flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating after earlier heat. Model consensus favors a daily maximum near 77–80 °F on July 6, consistent with July climatological normals around 84 °F being tempered by the recent frontal passage. Trader emphasis on the 78–81 °F brackets reflects tight model agreement on modest insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while lower bins account for possible persistent stratus or brief showers. Higher outcomes remain low-probability tails tied to faster clearing or stronger southerly return flow. Short-range ensemble spread at this lead time centers on these narrow ranges, with resolution hinging on afternoon observations at official reporting sites.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on July 6?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 6?
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 18%
74-75°F 5.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jul 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 18%
74-75°F 5.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jul 2026
71°F or below
$211 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$746 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$896 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$1,633 Vol.
18%
78-79°F
$1,732 Vol.
40%
80-81°F
$1,203 Vol.
30%
82-83°F
$976 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$362 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$263 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$451 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$264 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a post-holiday cooldown in Chicago, with northerly flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating after earlier heat. Model consensus favors a daily maximum near 77–80 °F on July 6, consistent with July climatological normals around 84 °F being tempered by the recent frontal passage. Trader emphasis on the 78–81 °F brackets reflects tight model agreement on modest insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while lower bins account for possible persistent stratus or brief showers. Higher outcomes remain low-probability tails tied to faster clearing or stronger southerly return flow. Short-range ensemble spread at this lead time centers on these narrow ranges, with resolution hinging on afternoon observations at official reporting sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$8,736Fecha de finalización
6 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a post-holiday cooldown in Chicago, with northerly flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating after earlier heat. Model consensus favors a daily maximum near 77–80 °F on July 6, consistent with July climatological normals around 84 °F being tempered by the recent frontal passage. Trader emphasis on the 78–81 °F brackets reflects tight model agreement on modest insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while lower bins account for possible persistent stratus or brief showers. Higher outcomes remain low-probability tails tied to faster clearing or stronger southerly return flow. Short-range ensemble spread at this lead time centers on these narrow ranges, with resolution hinging on afternoon observations at official reporting sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,736Fecha de finalización
6 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a post-holiday cooldown in Chicago, with northerly flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating after earlier heat. Model consensus favors a daily maximum near 77–80 °F on July 6, consistent with July climatological normals around 84 °F being tempered by the recent frontal passage. Trader emphasis on the 78–81 °F brackets reflects tight model agreement on modest insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while lower bins account for possible persistent stratus or brief showers. Higher outcomes remain low-probability tails tied to faster clearing or stronger southerly return flow. Short-range ensemble spread at this lead time centers on these narrow ranges, with resolution hinging on afternoon observations at official reporting sites.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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