Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 7 indicate a warm, settled pattern with daytime highs near 31°C and minimum temperatures of 18–19°C, driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–19°C because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and urban heat retention can easily shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical July minima average 13–15°C, so the elevated baseline this week reflects persistent high pressure suppressing typical cool advection. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs from the European Centre and UK Met Office will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in London on July 7?
Lowest temperature in London on July 7?
18°C 36%
19°C 26%
20°C 21%
17°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 jul 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
11%
18°C
36%
19°C
23%
20°C
21%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 36%
19°C 26%
20°C 21%
17°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 jul 2026
14°C or below
$149 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$148 Vol.
1%
16°C
$73 Vol.
1%
17°C
$153 Vol.
11%
18°C
$1,289 Vol.
36%
19°C
$350 Vol.
23%
20°C
$338 Vol.
21%
21°C
$389 Vol.
5%
22°C
$631 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$339 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$554 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 7 indicate a warm, settled pattern with daytime highs near 31°C and minimum temperatures of 18–19°C, driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–19°C because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and urban heat retention can easily shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical July minima average 13–15°C, so the elevated baseline this week reflects persistent high pressure suppressing typical cool advection. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs from the European Centre and UK Met Office will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$4,410Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 7 indicate a warm, settled pattern with daytime highs near 31°C and minimum temperatures of 18–19°C, driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–19°C because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and urban heat retention can easily shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical July minima average 13–15°C, so the elevated baseline this week reflects persistent high pressure suppressing typical cool advection. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs from the European Centre and UK Met Office will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,410Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 7 indicate a warm, settled pattern with daytime highs near 31°C and minimum temperatures of 18–19°C, driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–19°C because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and urban heat retention can easily shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical July minima average 13–15°C, so the elevated baseline this week reflects persistent high pressure suppressing typical cool advection. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs from the European Centre and UK Met Office will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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