Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate a typical mid-July minimum clustered around 26–28°C, driven by the region's humid subtropical climate, persistent high humidity, and strong urban heat island effects that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on expected cloud cover, light wind patterns, and any onshore flow or scattered precipitation that could modestly enhance or suppress overnight temperature drops, with averages historically near 27°C. Trader consensus around these values reflects the narrow range of plausible outcomes just 48 hours out, where ensemble guidance shows limited spread absent major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range model runs and official observations over the next day will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 7?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 7?
26°C 56%
27°C 28%
25°C 13%
28°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 jul 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
13%
26°C
56%
27°C
28%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 56%
27°C 28%
25°C 13%
28°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 jul 2026
21°C or below
$80 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$306 Vol.
1%
24°C
$94 Vol.
1%
25°C
$39 Vol.
13%
26°C
$132 Vol.
56%
27°C
$2,423 Vol.
28%
28°C
$25 Vol.
5%
29°C
$92 Vol.
1%
30°C
$264 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$505 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate a typical mid-July minimum clustered around 26–28°C, driven by the region's humid subtropical climate, persistent high humidity, and strong urban heat island effects that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on expected cloud cover, light wind patterns, and any onshore flow or scattered precipitation that could modestly enhance or suppress overnight temperature drops, with averages historically near 27°C. Trader consensus around these values reflects the narrow range of plausible outcomes just 48 hours out, where ensemble guidance shows limited spread absent major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range model runs and official observations over the next day will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$4,040Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate a typical mid-July minimum clustered around 26–28°C, driven by the region's humid subtropical climate, persistent high humidity, and strong urban heat island effects that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on expected cloud cover, light wind patterns, and any onshore flow or scattered precipitation that could modestly enhance or suppress overnight temperature drops, with averages historically near 27°C. Trader consensus around these values reflects the narrow range of plausible outcomes just 48 hours out, where ensemble guidance shows limited spread absent major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range model runs and official observations over the next day will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,040Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate a typical mid-July minimum clustered around 26–28°C, driven by the region's humid subtropical climate, persistent high humidity, and strong urban heat island effects that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on expected cloud cover, light wind patterns, and any onshore flow or scattered precipitation that could modestly enhance or suppress overnight temperature drops, with averages historically near 27°C. Trader consensus around these values reflects the narrow range of plausible outcomes just 48 hours out, where ensemble guidance shows limited spread absent major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range model runs and official observations over the next day will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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