Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and thunderstorms across the Pearl River Delta limiting daytime solar heating in Guangzhou ahead of August 3. These conditions, driven by the East Asian monsoon pattern and localized convective activity, typically cap maximum temperatures near 29–31°C rather than allowing full seasonal peaks above 32°C. Historical August baselines average 32°C highs, yet current moisture and reduced insolation favor the closely matched market probabilities around 30–31°C. Updated observational data and next model runs from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory will refine exact resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 3 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 3 de agosto?
31°C 29%
30°C 27%
29°C 17%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
17%
30°C
27%
31°C
29%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C o más
2%
31°C 29%
30°C 27%
29°C 17%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
24°C o menos
$423 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$29 Vol.
2%
27°C
$41 Vol.
3%
28°C
$15 Vol.
6%
29°C
$52 Vol.
17%
30°C
$52 Vol.
27%
31°C
$87 Vol.
29%
32°C
$135 Vol.
11%
33°C
$103 Vol.
5%
34°C o más
$309 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and thunderstorms across the Pearl River Delta limiting daytime solar heating in Guangzhou ahead of August 3. These conditions, driven by the East Asian monsoon pattern and localized convective activity, typically cap maximum temperatures near 29–31°C rather than allowing full seasonal peaks above 32°C. Historical August baselines average 32°C highs, yet current moisture and reduced insolation favor the closely matched market probabilities around 30–31°C. Updated observational data and next model runs from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory will refine exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$1,289Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and thunderstorms across the Pearl River Delta limiting daytime solar heating in Guangzhou ahead of August 3. These conditions, driven by the East Asian monsoon pattern and localized convective activity, typically cap maximum temperatures near 29–31°C rather than allowing full seasonal peaks above 32°C. Historical August baselines average 32°C highs, yet current moisture and reduced insolation favor the closely matched market probabilities around 30–31°C. Updated observational data and next model runs from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory will refine exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,289Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and thunderstorms across the Pearl River Delta limiting daytime solar heating in Guangzhou ahead of August 3. These conditions, driven by the East Asian monsoon pattern and localized convective activity, typically cap maximum temperatures near 29–31°C rather than allowing full seasonal peaks above 32°C. Historical August baselines average 32°C highs, yet current moisture and reduced insolation favor the closely matched market probabilities around 30–31°C. Updated observational data and next model runs from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory will refine exact resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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