**Short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Paris minimum temperatures on August 3 most likely settling between 19–21°C under a persistent warm air mass and light easterly flow.** Limited nocturnal radiative cooling from elevated dew points, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention prevents sharper drops, while steering patterns keep Atlantic fronts at bay. Recent late-July heat buildup across western Europe has raised baseline overnight values 2–4°C above climatology, tightening the distribution around 20°C. Traders weigh model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the close 19°C versus 20°C outcomes and the modest tail probability for 17°C or below if clearer skies develop. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs plus Météo-France guidance will refine resolution thresholds before market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 3 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 3 de agosto?
20°C 31%
19°C 25%
18°C 18%
17°C o menos 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
17°C o menos
16%
18°C
18%
19°C
25%
20°C
31%
21°C
14%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C o más
1%
20°C 31%
19°C 25%
18°C 18%
17°C o menos 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
17°C o menos
$29 Vol.
16%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
31%
21°C
$0 Vol.
14%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C
$0 Vol.
8%
24°C
$276 Vol.
7%
25°C
$175 Vol.
2%
26°C
$32 Vol.
1%
27°C o más
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Paris minimum temperatures on August 3 most likely settling between 19–21°C under a persistent warm air mass and light easterly flow.** Limited nocturnal radiative cooling from elevated dew points, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention prevents sharper drops, while steering patterns keep Atlantic fronts at bay. Recent late-July heat buildup across western Europe has raised baseline overnight values 2–4°C above climatology, tightening the distribution around 20°C. Traders weigh model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the close 19°C versus 20°C outcomes and the modest tail probability for 17°C or below if clearer skies develop. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs plus Météo-France guidance will refine resolution thresholds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$512Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Paris minimum temperatures on August 3 most likely settling between 19–21°C under a persistent warm air mass and light easterly flow.** Limited nocturnal radiative cooling from elevated dew points, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention prevents sharper drops, while steering patterns keep Atlantic fronts at bay. Recent late-July heat buildup across western Europe has raised baseline overnight values 2–4°C above climatology, tightening the distribution around 20°C. Traders weigh model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the close 19°C versus 20°C outcomes and the modest tail probability for 17°C or below if clearer skies develop. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs plus Météo-France guidance will refine resolution thresholds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$512Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Paris minimum temperatures on August 3 most likely settling between 19–21°C under a persistent warm air mass and light easterly flow.** Limited nocturnal radiative cooling from elevated dew points, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention prevents sharper drops, while steering patterns keep Atlantic fronts at bay. Recent late-July heat buildup across western Europe has raised baseline overnight values 2–4°C above climatology, tightening the distribution around 20°C. Traders weigh model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the close 19°C versus 20°C outcomes and the modest tail probability for 17°C or below if clearer skies develop. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs plus Météo-France guidance will refine resolution thresholds before market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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