Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and weather models indicate Moscow highs on August 3 around 25–26°C, following a brief warm spell with peaks near 30°C on August 2. Primary drivers include a shift toward increased cloud cover and possible early showers, which limit solar heating and daytime temperature rise under moderating northwesterly flow. Ensemble consensus shows tight clustering in the mid-20s due to uncertainties in precipitation timing and boundary layer moisture, with historical early-August averages near 23–24°C providing baseline context. Updated model runs and official agency guidance over the next 48 hours will refine exact maximums, directly influencing the narrow spread in market-implied odds favoring 25°C and 26°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 3 de agosto?
25°C 32%
26°C 27%
24°C 21%
27°C 10%
21°C o menos
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
21%
25°C
32%
26°C
27%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C o más
2%
25°C 32%
26°C 27%
24°C 21%
27°C 10%
21°C o menos
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
21%
25°C
32%
26°C
27%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and weather models indicate Moscow highs on August 3 around 25–26°C, following a brief warm spell with peaks near 30°C on August 2. Primary drivers include a shift toward increased cloud cover and possible early showers, which limit solar heating and daytime temperature rise under moderating northwesterly flow. Ensemble consensus shows tight clustering in the mid-20s due to uncertainties in precipitation timing and boundary layer moisture, with historical early-August averages near 23–24°C providing baseline context. Updated model runs and official agency guidance over the next 48 hours will refine exact maximums, directly influencing the narrow spread in market-implied odds favoring 25°C and 26°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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