Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Milan highs likely peaking near 34–35°C on August 3, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Po Valley that limits cloud cover and promotes daytime heating, alongside typical August insolation and urban heat-island effects. Model ensembles show modest spread due to uncertain boundary-layer moisture and weak frontal influences, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered around these values while capping odds for 36°C or above. Historical climatology for early August places the 1991–2020 average daily maximum near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational data from Milan Linate or Malpensa stations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and inform any last-minute shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 3 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 3 de agosto?
35°C 38%
34°C 26%
33°C or below 17%
36°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
33°C or below
17%
34°C
26%
35°C
38%
36°C
16%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
34°C 26%
33°C or below 17%
36°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
33°C or below
$1,288 Vol.
17%
34°C
$438 Vol.
26%
35°C
$392 Vol.
38%
36°C
$375 Vol.
16%
37°C
$201 Vol.
5%
38°C
$80 Vol.
2%
39°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$458 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$455 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Milan highs likely peaking near 34–35°C on August 3, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Po Valley that limits cloud cover and promotes daytime heating, alongside typical August insolation and urban heat-island effects. Model ensembles show modest spread due to uncertain boundary-layer moisture and weak frontal influences, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered around these values while capping odds for 36°C or above. Historical climatology for early August places the 1991–2020 average daily maximum near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational data from Milan Linate or Malpensa stations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and inform any last-minute shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$4,084Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Milan highs likely peaking near 34–35°C on August 3, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Po Valley that limits cloud cover and promotes daytime heating, alongside typical August insolation and urban heat-island effects. Model ensembles show modest spread due to uncertain boundary-layer moisture and weak frontal influences, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered around these values while capping odds for 36°C or above. Historical climatology for early August places the 1991–2020 average daily maximum near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational data from Milan Linate or Malpensa stations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and inform any last-minute shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,084Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Milan highs likely peaking near 34–35°C on August 3, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Po Valley that limits cloud cover and promotes daytime heating, alongside typical August insolation and urban heat-island effects. Model ensembles show modest spread due to uncertain boundary-layer moisture and weak frontal influences, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered around these values while capping odds for 36°C or above. Historical climatology for early August places the 1991–2020 average daily maximum near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational data from Milan Linate or Malpensa stations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and inform any last-minute shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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