Current short-range forecasts from major models place Istanbul’s July 6 maximum near 27–29 °C under a ridge of high pressure and moderate northerly flow across the Sea of Marmara. This pattern favors partly sunny skies with limited daytime heating and no significant warm advection, keeping values close to early-July climatology. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the tight market clustering around 26 °C and 27 °C; a modest eastward shift in the surface high or stronger southerly component could add 1–2 °C, while stronger northerlies or increased cloud cover would cap the peak nearer 26 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any revised NHC or Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will be the next key catalysts before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 6?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 6?
26°C 41%
27°C 25%
25°C 8%
28°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jul 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
41%
27°C
25%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 41%
27°C 25%
25°C 8%
28°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jul 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$34 Vol.
41%
27°C
$2 Vol.
25%
28°C
$32 Vol.
5%
29°C
$20 Vol.
5%
30°C
$5 Vol.
4%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major models place Istanbul’s July 6 maximum near 27–29 °C under a ridge of high pressure and moderate northerly flow across the Sea of Marmara. This pattern favors partly sunny skies with limited daytime heating and no significant warm advection, keeping values close to early-July climatology. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the tight market clustering around 26 °C and 27 °C; a modest eastward shift in the surface high or stronger southerly component could add 1–2 °C, while stronger northerlies or increased cloud cover would cap the peak nearer 26 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any revised NHC or Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will be the next key catalysts before the 24-hour observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$107Fecha de finalización
6 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major models place Istanbul’s July 6 maximum near 27–29 °C under a ridge of high pressure and moderate northerly flow across the Sea of Marmara. This pattern favors partly sunny skies with limited daytime heating and no significant warm advection, keeping values close to early-July climatology. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the tight market clustering around 26 °C and 27 °C; a modest eastward shift in the surface high or stronger southerly component could add 1–2 °C, while stronger northerlies or increased cloud cover would cap the peak nearer 26 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any revised NHC or Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will be the next key catalysts before the 24-hour observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$107Fecha de finalización
6 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from major models place Istanbul’s July 6 maximum near 27–29 °C under a ridge of high pressure and moderate northerly flow across the Sea of Marmara. This pattern favors partly sunny skies with limited daytime heating and no significant warm advection, keeping values close to early-July climatology. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the tight market clustering around 26 °C and 27 °C; a modest eastward shift in the surface high or stronger southerly component could add 1–2 °C, while stronger northerlies or increased cloud cover would cap the peak nearer 26 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any revised NHC or Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will be the next key catalysts before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes