Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA GFS models, aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, place Tel Aviv’s July 6 maximum in the 30–32°C range under a moderate high-pressure ridge typical of eastern Mediterranean summer conditions. Sea-breeze moderation along the coast and minimal synoptic forcing keep extremes unlikely, consistent with July climatology where daily highs average near 31–32°C. Recent model runs show low spread, with any late intensification of the ridge or coastal trough the main variables that could shift the distribution by one degree. Israel Meteorological Service updates and final ensemble consensus ahead of July 5–6 remain the key near-term inputs for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 6?
31°C 53%
32°C 28%
30°C 10%
33°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jul 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
46%
32°C
27%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 53%
32°C 28%
30°C 10%
33°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jul 2026
28°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$81 Vol.
2%
30°C
$21 Vol.
10%
31°C
$142 Vol.
46%
32°C
$27 Vol.
27%
33°C
$20 Vol.
7%
34°C
$80 Vol.
4%
35°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$133 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA GFS models, aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, place Tel Aviv’s July 6 maximum in the 30–32°C range under a moderate high-pressure ridge typical of eastern Mediterranean summer conditions. Sea-breeze moderation along the coast and minimal synoptic forcing keep extremes unlikely, consistent with July climatology where daily highs average near 31–32°C. Recent model runs show low spread, with any late intensification of the ridge or coastal trough the main variables that could shift the distribution by one degree. Israel Meteorological Service updates and final ensemble consensus ahead of July 5–6 remain the key near-term inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$612Fecha de finalización
6 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA GFS models, aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, place Tel Aviv’s July 6 maximum in the 30–32°C range under a moderate high-pressure ridge typical of eastern Mediterranean summer conditions. Sea-breeze moderation along the coast and minimal synoptic forcing keep extremes unlikely, consistent with July climatology where daily highs average near 31–32°C. Recent model runs show low spread, with any late intensification of the ridge or coastal trough the main variables that could shift the distribution by one degree. Israel Meteorological Service updates and final ensemble consensus ahead of July 5–6 remain the key near-term inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$612Fecha de finalización
6 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA GFS models, aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, place Tel Aviv’s July 6 maximum in the 30–32°C range under a moderate high-pressure ridge typical of eastern Mediterranean summer conditions. Sea-breeze moderation along the coast and minimal synoptic forcing keep extremes unlikely, consistent with July climatology where daily highs average near 31–32°C. Recent model runs show low spread, with any late intensification of the ridge or coastal trough the main variables that could shift the distribution by one degree. Israel Meteorological Service updates and final ensemble consensus ahead of July 5–6 remain the key near-term inputs for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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