Recent forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection over northern France, with Paris daytime maxima most likely peaking at 33–34°C on July 6 amid mostly clear skies and light winds. Following the late-June heatwave that produced national records near 40°C, residual warmth and dry soils are sustaining elevated temperatures, though increasing model spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values, with lower odds for 32°C or below tied to any unexpected marine influence and slim chances above 35°C requiring stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and Meteo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of the July 6 maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on July 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 6?
33°C 36%
34°C 32%
31°C 15%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jul 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
11%
33°C
36%
34°C
32%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
33°C 36%
34°C 32%
31°C 15%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jul 2026
29°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$25 Vol.
9%
32°C
$106 Vol.
11%
33°C
$99 Vol.
36%
34°C
$38 Vol.
32%
35°C
$83 Vol.
7%
36°C
$10 Vol.
3%
37°C
$5 Vol.
1%
38°C
$5 Vol.
4%
39°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection over northern France, with Paris daytime maxima most likely peaking at 33–34°C on July 6 amid mostly clear skies and light winds. Following the late-June heatwave that produced national records near 40°C, residual warmth and dry soils are sustaining elevated temperatures, though increasing model spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values, with lower odds for 32°C or below tied to any unexpected marine influence and slim chances above 35°C requiring stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and Meteo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of the July 6 maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Volumen
$377Fecha de finalización
6 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection over northern France, with Paris daytime maxima most likely peaking at 33–34°C on July 6 amid mostly clear skies and light winds. Following the late-June heatwave that produced national records near 40°C, residual warmth and dry soils are sustaining elevated temperatures, though increasing model spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values, with lower odds for 32°C or below tied to any unexpected marine influence and slim chances above 35°C requiring stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and Meteo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of the July 6 maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$377Fecha de finalización
6 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection over northern France, with Paris daytime maxima most likely peaking at 33–34°C on July 6 amid mostly clear skies and light winds. Following the late-June heatwave that produced national records near 40°C, residual warmth and dry soils are sustaining elevated temperatures, though increasing model spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values, with lower odds for 32°C or below tied to any unexpected marine influence and slim chances above 35°C requiring stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and Meteo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of the July 6 maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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