Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 10 because official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models consistently project 32–34 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when regional highs routinely average near 30 °C and frequently exceed 35 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model agreement, with only an abrupt, unforecast cold frontal passage or persistent heavy rain capable of realistically suppressing temperatures near or below the threshold—developments not indicated in current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 10 de agosto?
26°C o más 100.0%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$6,684 Vol.
$6,684 Vol.
10 ago 2026
16°C o menos
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C o más
Sí
26°C o más 100.0%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$6,684 Vol.
$6,684 Vol.
10 ago 2026
16°C o menos
$255 Vol.
No
17°C
$250 Vol.
No
18°C
$255 Vol.
No
19°C
$515 Vol.
No
20°C
$781 Vol.
No
21°C
$786 Vol.
No
22°C
$755 Vol.
No
23°C
$740 Vol.
No
24°C
$412 Vol.
No
25°C
$772 Vol.
No
26°C o más
$1,162 Vol.
Sí
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 10 because official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models consistently project 32–34 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when regional highs routinely average near 30 °C and frequently exceed 35 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model agreement, with only an abrupt, unforecast cold frontal passage or persistent heavy rain capable of realistically suppressing temperatures near or below the threshold—developments not indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$6,684Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 10 because official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models consistently project 32–34 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when regional highs routinely average near 30 °C and frequently exceed 35 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model agreement, with only an abrupt, unforecast cold frontal passage or persistent heavy rain capable of realistically suppressing temperatures near or below the threshold—developments not indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,684Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 10 because official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models consistently project 32–34 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when regional highs routinely average near 30 °C and frequently exceed 35 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model agreement, with only an abrupt, unforecast cold frontal passage or persistent heavy rain capable of realistically suppressing temperatures near or below the threshold—developments not indicated in current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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