Recent monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, driving trader consensus toward 32–33°C highs for August 29. IMD’s local forecast projects a 35°C maximum under partly cloudy skies with strong winds, yet multiple global models and recent observations indicate persistent moisture and scattered thundershowers will likely cap temperatures near 32–33°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Model divergence on convective timing creates the narrow spread between 31°C and 34°C probabilities, with new IMD updates and overnight model runs expected to clarify resolution thresholds before the 29th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 29 de agosto?
32°C 31%
33°C 29%
31°C 18%
34°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
18%
32°C
31%
33°C
29%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
5%
32°C 31%
33°C 29%
31°C 18%
34°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
18%
32°C
31%
33°C
29%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, driving trader consensus toward 32–33°C highs for August 29. IMD’s local forecast projects a 35°C maximum under partly cloudy skies with strong winds, yet multiple global models and recent observations indicate persistent moisture and scattered thundershowers will likely cap temperatures near 32–33°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Model divergence on convective timing creates the narrow spread between 31°C and 34°C probabilities, with new IMD updates and overnight model runs expected to clarify resolution thresholds before the 29th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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