Active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh currently anchor trader sentiment toward a 31–32°C peak in Lucknow on July 9, with implied probabilities reflecting suppressed insolation from widespread cloud cover, frequent thundershowers, and enhanced evaporative cooling. Recent India Meteorological Department updates show the monsoon trough positioned favorably, delivering above-normal rainfall that has kept recent daily maxima in the low-to-mid 30s rather than pre-monsoon extremes. Model consensus emphasizes high humidity and light variable winds limiting diurnal heating, though any short-term monsoon break could allow brief rises toward 34°C. Forecasters will release updated guidance within 48 hours, directly informing resolution on the precise maximum temperature threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 9?
32°C 33%
31°C 29%
33°C 9%
34°C 6.6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
29%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C
7%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 29%
33°C 9%
34°C 6.6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
29%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C
7%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh currently anchor trader sentiment toward a 31–32°C peak in Lucknow on July 9, with implied probabilities reflecting suppressed insolation from widespread cloud cover, frequent thundershowers, and enhanced evaporative cooling. Recent India Meteorological Department updates show the monsoon trough positioned favorably, delivering above-normal rainfall that has kept recent daily maxima in the low-to-mid 30s rather than pre-monsoon extremes. Model consensus emphasizes high humidity and light variable winds limiting diurnal heating, though any short-term monsoon break could allow brief rises toward 34°C. Forecasters will release updated guidance within 48 hours, directly informing resolution on the precise maximum temperature threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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