Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports peak Milan temperatures near 34–35 °C on July 7 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection from North Africa, with clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between these bins in trader pricing reflects typical ensemble uncertainty of 1–2 °C arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact ridge positioning. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether subsidence warming pushes the maximum to 35 °C or holds it at 34 °C, while any earlier Atlantic trough intrusion remains the principal downside risk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on July 7?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 7?
34°C 44%
35°C 26%
33°C 24%
32°C 3.8%
NUEVO
$17,642 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,642 Vol.
7 jul 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
24%
34°C
44%
35°C
26%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 44%
35°C 26%
33°C 24%
32°C 3.8%
NUEVO
$17,642 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,642 Vol.
7 jul 2026
31°C or below
$1,356 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,500 Vol.
4%
33°C
$1,881 Vol.
24%
34°C
$7,019 Vol.
44%
35°C
$1,753 Vol.
26%
36°C
$709 Vol.
4%
37°C
$913 Vol.
1%
38°C
$629 Vol.
1%
39°C
$655 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$445 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$784 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports peak Milan temperatures near 34–35 °C on July 7 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection from North Africa, with clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between these bins in trader pricing reflects typical ensemble uncertainty of 1–2 °C arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact ridge positioning. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether subsidence warming pushes the maximum to 35 °C or holds it at 34 °C, while any earlier Atlantic trough intrusion remains the principal downside risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$17,642Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports peak Milan temperatures near 34–35 °C on July 7 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection from North Africa, with clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between these bins in trader pricing reflects typical ensemble uncertainty of 1–2 °C arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact ridge positioning. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether subsidence warming pushes the maximum to 35 °C or holds it at 34 °C, while any earlier Atlantic trough intrusion remains the principal downside risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$17,642Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports peak Milan temperatures near 34–35 °C on July 7 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection from North Africa, with clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between these bins in trader pricing reflects typical ensemble uncertainty of 1–2 °C arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact ridge positioning. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether subsidence warming pushes the maximum to 35 °C or holds it at 34 °C, while any earlier Atlantic trough intrusion remains the principal downside risk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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