Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including GFS data, show a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light easterly flow over Milan on September 6, supporting a daytime maximum near 32–33°C. This positions 32°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability, with 31°C and 33°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Current conditions feature above-average warmth for early September, driven by an anomalous subtropical air mass, though no rapid changes are expected before the observation window. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 6 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 6 de septiembre?
32°C 49%
31°C 30%
33°C 12%
34°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
27°C o menos
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
30%
32°C
49%
33°C
12%
34°C
6%
35°C
5%
36°C
3%
37°C o más
3%
32°C 49%
31°C 30%
33°C 12%
34°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
27°C o menos
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$179 Vol.
30%
32°C
$118 Vol.
49%
33°C
$5 Vol.
12%
34°C
$6 Vol.
6%
35°C
$11 Vol.
5%
36°C
$0 Vol.
3%
37°C o más
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including GFS data, show a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light easterly flow over Milan on September 6, supporting a daytime maximum near 32–33°C. This positions 32°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability, with 31°C and 33°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Current conditions feature above-average warmth for early September, driven by an anomalous subtropical air mass, though no rapid changes are expected before the observation window. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$319Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including GFS data, show a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light easterly flow over Milan on September 6, supporting a daytime maximum near 32–33°C. This positions 32°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability, with 31°C and 33°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Current conditions feature above-average warmth for early September, driven by an anomalous subtropical air mass, though no rapid changes are expected before the observation window. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$319Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including GFS data, show a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light easterly flow over Milan on September 6, supporting a daytime maximum near 32–33°C. This positions 32°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability, with 31°C and 33°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Current conditions feature above-average warmth for early September, driven by an anomalous subtropical air mass, though no rapid changes are expected before the observation window. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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