Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on September 6 points to overnight lows in the low to mid-50s, supporting the market's tight clustering around 52-55°F outcomes. Radiational cooling under partly cloudy to clearing skies, combined with light northerly flow and moderating marine air from Puget Sound, favors minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 54.6°F. Key variables differentiating the 50-51°F versus 54-55°F bins include model spread on nocturnal cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with drier high-pressure influence potentially allowing slightly stronger cooling. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seattle el 6 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seattle el 6 de septiembre?
52-53°F 40%
54-55°F 31%
50-51°F 23%
56-57°F 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
45°F o menos
13%
46-47°F
16%
48-49°F
11%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
40%
54-55°F
31%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
15%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
15%
64°F o más
14%
52-53°F 40%
54-55°F 31%
50-51°F 23%
56-57°F 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
45°F o menos
$0 Vol.
13%
46-47°F
$0 Vol.
16%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
11%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
23%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
40%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
31%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
21%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
15%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
15%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
15%
64°F o más
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on September 6 points to overnight lows in the low to mid-50s, supporting the market's tight clustering around 52-55°F outcomes. Radiational cooling under partly cloudy to clearing skies, combined with light northerly flow and moderating marine air from Puget Sound, favors minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 54.6°F. Key variables differentiating the 50-51°F versus 54-55°F bins include model spread on nocturnal cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with drier high-pressure influence potentially allowing slightly stronger cooling. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on September 6 points to overnight lows in the low to mid-50s, supporting the market's tight clustering around 52-55°F outcomes. Radiational cooling under partly cloudy to clearing skies, combined with light northerly flow and moderating marine air from Puget Sound, favors minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 54.6°F. Key variables differentiating the 50-51°F versus 54-55°F bins include model spread on nocturnal cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with drier high-pressure influence potentially allowing slightly stronger cooling. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on September 6 points to overnight lows in the low to mid-50s, supporting the market's tight clustering around 52-55°F outcomes. Radiational cooling under partly cloudy to clearing skies, combined with light northerly flow and moderating marine air from Puget Sound, favors minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 54.6°F. Key variables differentiating the 50-51°F versus 54-55°F bins include model spread on nocturnal cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with drier high-pressure influence potentially allowing slightly stronger cooling. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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