Recent model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, Yr, and international guidance points to a post-frontal high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires on September 4, with southwest winds, clearing skies, and a cool air mass limiting daytime heating. This follows a warm September 2 peak near 21–22 °C and Thursday’s frontal passage that dropped readings into the mid-teens. Ensemble outputs cluster daily maxima between 16–18 °C, consistent with early-spring climatology yet tempered by the fresh polar air. Market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (45.5 %) and 19 °C (35 %) reflect trader weighting of slight model spread and potential for marginally stronger insolation under clearing conditions, while lower probabilities on 17 °C and below capture the dominant cool-air signal. Updated NWP runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 4 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 4 de septiembre?
18°C 45%
19°C 35%
17°C 13%
20°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
12°C o menos
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
13%
18°C
45%
19°C
35%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C o más
2%
18°C 45%
19°C 35%
17°C 13%
20°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$62 Vol.
1%
13°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$150 Vol.
2%
16°C
$204 Vol.
5%
17°C
$216 Vol.
13%
18°C
$217 Vol.
45%
19°C
$303 Vol.
35%
20°C
$167 Vol.
5%
21°C
$195 Vol.
2%
22°C o más
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, Yr, and international guidance points to a post-frontal high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires on September 4, with southwest winds, clearing skies, and a cool air mass limiting daytime heating. This follows a warm September 2 peak near 21–22 °C and Thursday’s frontal passage that dropped readings into the mid-teens. Ensemble outputs cluster daily maxima between 16–18 °C, consistent with early-spring climatology yet tempered by the fresh polar air. Market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (45.5 %) and 19 °C (35 %) reflect trader weighting of slight model spread and potential for marginally stronger insolation under clearing conditions, while lower probabilities on 17 °C and below capture the dominant cool-air signal. Updated NWP runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volumen
$1,610Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, Yr, and international guidance points to a post-frontal high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires on September 4, with southwest winds, clearing skies, and a cool air mass limiting daytime heating. This follows a warm September 2 peak near 21–22 °C and Thursday’s frontal passage that dropped readings into the mid-teens. Ensemble outputs cluster daily maxima between 16–18 °C, consistent with early-spring climatology yet tempered by the fresh polar air. Market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (45.5 %) and 19 °C (35 %) reflect trader weighting of slight model spread and potential for marginally stronger insolation under clearing conditions, while lower probabilities on 17 °C and below capture the dominant cool-air signal. Updated NWP runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,610Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, Yr, and international guidance points to a post-frontal high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires on September 4, with southwest winds, clearing skies, and a cool air mass limiting daytime heating. This follows a warm September 2 peak near 21–22 °C and Thursday’s frontal passage that dropped readings into the mid-teens. Ensemble outputs cluster daily maxima between 16–18 °C, consistent with early-spring climatology yet tempered by the fresh polar air. Market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (45.5 %) and 19 °C (35 %) reflect trader weighting of slight model spread and potential for marginally stronger insolation under clearing conditions, while lower probabilities on 17 °C and below capture the dominant cool-air signal. Updated NWP runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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