Official NWS forecasts for Dallas on September 2 project a high in the mid-to-upper 90s under southerly flow, with 20-30% afternoon thunderstorm chances tied to increasing instability and moisture. This creates the key uncertainty differentiating market bins: stronger or earlier convection could cap readings at 94-95°F or below by limiting insolation, while delayed or scattered activity allows peaks near 96-97°F. Recent model runs show modest cooling from prior hot conditions, with dew points near 70°F supporting heat indices above 105°F but minimal impact on the actual maximum. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these central outcomes, reflecting narrow forecast spreads and typical late-summer variability in convective timing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 2 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 2 de septiembre?
94-95°F 31%
96-97°F 29%
92-93°F 21%
98-99°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
87°F o menos
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
2%
106°F o más
<1%
94-95°F 31%
96-97°F 29%
92-93°F 21%
98-99°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
87°F o menos
$102 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$110 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$224 Vol.
12%
92-93°F
$271 Vol.
21%
94-95°F
$847 Vol.
31%
96-97°F
$210 Vol.
29%
98-99°F
$52 Vol.
13%
100-101°F
$46 Vol.
5%
102-103°F
$92 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$35 Vol.
2%
106°F o más
$255 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts for Dallas on September 2 project a high in the mid-to-upper 90s under southerly flow, with 20-30% afternoon thunderstorm chances tied to increasing instability and moisture. This creates the key uncertainty differentiating market bins: stronger or earlier convection could cap readings at 94-95°F or below by limiting insolation, while delayed or scattered activity allows peaks near 96-97°F. Recent model runs show modest cooling from prior hot conditions, with dew points near 70°F supporting heat indices above 105°F but minimal impact on the actual maximum. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these central outcomes, reflecting narrow forecast spreads and typical late-summer variability in convective timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,243Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts for Dallas on September 2 project a high in the mid-to-upper 90s under southerly flow, with 20-30% afternoon thunderstorm chances tied to increasing instability and moisture. This creates the key uncertainty differentiating market bins: stronger or earlier convection could cap readings at 94-95°F or below by limiting insolation, while delayed or scattered activity allows peaks near 96-97°F. Recent model runs show modest cooling from prior hot conditions, with dew points near 70°F supporting heat indices above 105°F but minimal impact on the actual maximum. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these central outcomes, reflecting narrow forecast spreads and typical late-summer variability in convective timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,243Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts for Dallas on September 2 project a high in the mid-to-upper 90s under southerly flow, with 20-30% afternoon thunderstorm chances tied to increasing instability and moisture. This creates the key uncertainty differentiating market bins: stronger or earlier convection could cap readings at 94-95°F or below by limiting insolation, while delayed or scattered activity allows peaks near 96-97°F. Recent model runs show modest cooling from prior hot conditions, with dew points near 70°F supporting heat indices above 105°F but minimal impact on the actual maximum. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these central outcomes, reflecting narrow forecast spreads and typical late-summer variability in convective timing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes