Current forecast models indicate a high near 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 2, driven by typical early-September conditions in the Valley of Mexico during the rainy season, including afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly winds that limit peak solar heating. Official and ensemble guidance clusters around these values, close to the long-term average high of about 22–23°C, with limited potential for stronger diurnal warming if convection develops later than expected. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 24°C (44%) and 23°C (26%), reflecting model consensus on modest instability and moisture that caps temperatures below 25°C in most scenarios, while assigning lower probability to outliers. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at standard stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 2 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 2 de septiembre?
24°C 44%
23°C 26%
25°C 21%
26°C or higher 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
15%
21°C
8%
22°C
17%
23°C
26%
24°C
44%
25°C
21%
26°C or higher
18%
24°C 44%
23°C 26%
25°C 21%
26°C or higher 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
16°C or below
$155 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$72 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
15%
21°C
$16 Vol.
8%
22°C
$17 Vol.
17%
23°C
$179 Vol.
26%
24°C
$59 Vol.
44%
25°C
$99 Vol.
21%
26°C or higher
$10 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a high near 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 2, driven by typical early-September conditions in the Valley of Mexico during the rainy season, including afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly winds that limit peak solar heating. Official and ensemble guidance clusters around these values, close to the long-term average high of about 22–23°C, with limited potential for stronger diurnal warming if convection develops later than expected. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 24°C (44%) and 23°C (26%), reflecting model consensus on modest instability and moisture that caps temperatures below 25°C in most scenarios, while assigning lower probability to outliers. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$922Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a high near 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 2, driven by typical early-September conditions in the Valley of Mexico during the rainy season, including afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly winds that limit peak solar heating. Official and ensemble guidance clusters around these values, close to the long-term average high of about 22–23°C, with limited potential for stronger diurnal warming if convection develops later than expected. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 24°C (44%) and 23°C (26%), reflecting model consensus on modest instability and moisture that caps temperatures below 25°C in most scenarios, while assigning lower probability to outliers. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$922Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a high near 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 2, driven by typical early-September conditions in the Valley of Mexico during the rainy season, including afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly winds that limit peak solar heating. Official and ensemble guidance clusters around these values, close to the long-term average high of about 22–23°C, with limited potential for stronger diurnal warming if convection develops later than expected. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 24°C (44%) and 23°C (26%), reflecting model consensus on modest instability and moisture that caps temperatures below 25°C in most scenarios, while assigning lower probability to outliers. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at standard stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes