Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a peak of 28°C for Toronto on September 2 amid southerly flow and high humidity, with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Scattered convection and cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly below ensemble guidance that ranges 26–30°C. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustering on 27–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in convective timing and intensity rather than broad warming trends. Historical September 2 highs average 24°C, so current warm advection stands out, though precipitation offers downside risk for the upper outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow will clarify any shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 2 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 2 de septiembre?
28°C 30%
29°C 26%
27°C 22%
30°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
22%
28°C
30%
29°C
26%
30°C
9%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 30%
29°C 26%
27°C 22%
30°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
25°C or below
$156 Vol.
3%
26°C
$189 Vol.
5%
27°C
$252 Vol.
22%
28°C
$192 Vol.
30%
29°C
$424 Vol.
26%
30°C
$294 Vol.
9%
31°C
$125 Vol.
4%
32°C
$269 Vol.
4%
33°C
$196 Vol.
1%
34°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$347 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a peak of 28°C for Toronto on September 2 amid southerly flow and high humidity, with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Scattered convection and cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly below ensemble guidance that ranges 26–30°C. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustering on 27–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in convective timing and intensity rather than broad warming trends. Historical September 2 highs average 24°C, so current warm advection stands out, though precipitation offers downside risk for the upper outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow will clarify any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,564Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a peak of 28°C for Toronto on September 2 amid southerly flow and high humidity, with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Scattered convection and cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly below ensemble guidance that ranges 26–30°C. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustering on 27–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in convective timing and intensity rather than broad warming trends. Historical September 2 highs average 24°C, so current warm advection stands out, though precipitation offers downside risk for the upper outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow will clarify any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,564Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a peak of 28°C for Toronto on September 2 amid southerly flow and high humidity, with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Scattered convection and cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly below ensemble guidance that ranges 26–30°C. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustering on 27–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in convective timing and intensity rather than broad warming trends. Historical September 2 highs average 24°C, so current warm advection stands out, though precipitation offers downside risk for the upper outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow will clarify any shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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