Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a post-frontal air mass over Buenos Aires on September 4, with daytime highs near 17–18 °C and overnight lows projected between 7–9 °C under clearing skies and light southwest winds. This setup favors strong radiative cooling after the cold front passage on September 2–3, which has already lowered regional temperatures several degrees below early-September climatology. Trader emphasis on the 5 °C-or-below outcome reflects model spread in minimum-temperature guidance and the potential for localized cooling under calm conditions, while the notable probability attached to 15 °C or higher captures residual uncertainty in frontal timing and cloud cover. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and next model cycles will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Buenos Aires el 4 de septiembre?
5°C o menos 99%
15°C o más 59%
6°C 49%
7°C 49%
5°C o menos
99%
6°C
49%
7°C
49%
8°C
49%
9°C
25%
10°C
9%
11°C
44%
12°C
44%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C o más
59%
5°C o menos 99%
15°C o más 59%
6°C 49%
7°C 49%
5°C o menos
99%
6°C
49%
7°C
49%
8°C
49%
9°C
25%
10°C
9%
11°C
44%
12°C
44%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C o más
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a post-frontal air mass over Buenos Aires on September 4, with daytime highs near 17–18 °C and overnight lows projected between 7–9 °C under clearing skies and light southwest winds. This setup favors strong radiative cooling after the cold front passage on September 2–3, which has already lowered regional temperatures several degrees below early-September climatology. Trader emphasis on the 5 °C-or-below outcome reflects model spread in minimum-temperature guidance and the potential for localized cooling under calm conditions, while the notable probability attached to 15 °C or higher captures residual uncertainty in frontal timing and cloud cover. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and next model cycles will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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