Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, project a daily high in Chengdu on September 2 around 30–34°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the seasonal transition from peak summer heat. Late August observations recorded consistent highs of 33–35°C amid lingering warm, humid conditions in the Sichuan Basin, supporting elevated trader weighting toward 34–35°C outcomes. These probabilities reflect model consensus on modest cooling from reduced solar heating and potential cloud increases, while historical September averages near 30°C and low precipitation chances limit downside risk below 32°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 2 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 2 de septiembre?
34°C 32%
35°C 28%
33°C 27%
32°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
27%
34°C
32%
35°C
28%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
3%
34°C 32%
35°C 28%
33°C 27%
32°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
28°C or below
$391 Vol.
1%
29°C
$192 Vol.
1%
30°C
$320 Vol.
2%
31°C
$186 Vol.
4%
32°C
$825 Vol.
12%
33°C
$206 Vol.
27%
34°C
$229 Vol.
32%
35°C
$520 Vol.
28%
36°C
$247 Vol.
2%
37°C
$404 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$835 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, project a daily high in Chengdu on September 2 around 30–34°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the seasonal transition from peak summer heat. Late August observations recorded consistent highs of 33–35°C amid lingering warm, humid conditions in the Sichuan Basin, supporting elevated trader weighting toward 34–35°C outcomes. These probabilities reflect model consensus on modest cooling from reduced solar heating and potential cloud increases, while historical September averages near 30°C and low precipitation chances limit downside risk below 32°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$4,353Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, project a daily high in Chengdu on September 2 around 30–34°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the seasonal transition from peak summer heat. Late August observations recorded consistent highs of 33–35°C amid lingering warm, humid conditions in the Sichuan Basin, supporting elevated trader weighting toward 34–35°C outcomes. These probabilities reflect model consensus on modest cooling from reduced solar heating and potential cloud increases, while historical September averages near 30°C and low precipitation chances limit downside risk below 32°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,353Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, project a daily high in Chengdu on September 2 around 30–34°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the seasonal transition from peak summer heat. Late August observations recorded consistent highs of 33–35°C amid lingering warm, humid conditions in the Sichuan Basin, supporting elevated trader weighting toward 34–35°C outcomes. These probabilities reflect model consensus on modest cooling from reduced solar heating and potential cloud increases, while historical September averages near 30°C and low precipitation chances limit downside risk below 32°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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