Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 2 near 21–23 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and low precipitation risk. This consensus around the mid-20s daytime peak and early-20s overnight low, consistent with early-September climatology for the Sichuan Basin, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 50 % for outcomes between 20 °C and 22 °C. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture, leaving lower probabilities for extremes below 18 °C or above 25 °C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 2 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 2 de septiembre?
25°C 96%
20°C 77%
24°C 74%
23°C 73%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
17°C or below
15%
18°C
14%
19°C
71%
20°C
77%
21°C
52%
22°C
49%
23°C
73%
24°C
74%
25°C
96%
26°C
23%
27°C or higher
12%
25°C 96%
20°C 77%
24°C 74%
23°C 73%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
15%
18°C
$51 Vol.
14%
19°C
$0 Vol.
71%
20°C
$0 Vol.
77%
21°C
$0 Vol.
52%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
73%
24°C
$0 Vol.
74%
25°C
$20 Vol.
96%
26°C
$5 Vol.
23%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 2 near 21–23 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and low precipitation risk. This consensus around the mid-20s daytime peak and early-20s overnight low, consistent with early-September climatology for the Sichuan Basin, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 50 % for outcomes between 20 °C and 22 °C. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture, leaving lower probabilities for extremes below 18 °C or above 25 °C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$86Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 2 near 21–23 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and low precipitation risk. This consensus around the mid-20s daytime peak and early-20s overnight low, consistent with early-September climatology for the Sichuan Basin, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 50 % for outcomes between 20 °C and 22 °C. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture, leaving lower probabilities for extremes below 18 °C or above 25 °C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$86Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 2 near 21–23 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and low precipitation risk. This consensus around the mid-20s daytime peak and early-20s overnight low, consistent with early-September climatology for the Sichuan Basin, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 50 % for outcomes between 20 °C and 22 °C. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture, leaving lower probabilities for extremes below 18 °C or above 25 °C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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