**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a Friday night low in the mid-60s for Los Angeles, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 66-67°F (48%) and 64-65°F (33.5%).** Typical early-September conditions feature a persistent marine layer and onshore southwest flow that moderates coastal temperatures through nocturnal cloud cover and fog, keeping overnight lows near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 64.5°F. Recent observations at Los Angeles International Airport show September 1–2 lows of 66°F and 64–65°F, with no incoming cold advection or heat ridge to shift the pattern. The approaching Tropical Storm Marie remains well offshore and primarily influences surf rather than local thermodynamics. This stable setup produces low probability for extremes below 60°F or above 70°F, as reflected in the thinner tails of the market distribution. Updated NWS model runs and morning marine-layer forecasts on September 3 will be the next key inputs for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Los Ángeles el 4 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Los Ángeles el 4 de septiembre?
55°F o menos 56%
74°F o más 55%
64-65°F 50%
66-67°F 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
55°F o menos
56%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
15%
74°F o más
55%
55°F o menos 56%
74°F o más 55%
64-65°F 50%
66-67°F 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
55°F o menos
$0 Vol.
56%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
17%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
40%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
19%
62-63°F
$13 Vol.
19%
64-65°F
$16 Vol.
34%
66-67°F
$37 Vol.
49%
68-69°F
$73 Vol.
13%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
9%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
15%
74°F o más
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a Friday night low in the mid-60s for Los Angeles, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 66-67°F (48%) and 64-65°F (33.5%).**
Typical early-September conditions feature a persistent marine layer and onshore southwest flow that moderates coastal temperatures through nocturnal cloud cover and fog, keeping overnight lows near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 64.5°F. Recent observations at Los Angeles International Airport show September 1–2 lows of 66°F and 64–65°F, with no incoming cold advection or heat ridge to shift the pattern.
The approaching Tropical Storm Marie remains well offshore and primarily influences surf rather than local thermodynamics. This stable setup produces low probability for extremes below 60°F or above 70°F, as reflected in the thinner tails of the market distribution. Updated NWS model runs and morning marine-layer forecasts on September 3 will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$143Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a Friday night low in the mid-60s for Los Angeles, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 66-67°F (48%) and 64-65°F (33.5%).**
Typical early-September conditions feature a persistent marine layer and onshore southwest flow that moderates coastal temperatures through nocturnal cloud cover and fog, keeping overnight lows near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 64.5°F. Recent observations at Los Angeles International Airport show September 1–2 lows of 66°F and 64–65°F, with no incoming cold advection or heat ridge to shift the pattern.
The approaching Tropical Storm Marie remains well offshore and primarily influences surf rather than local thermodynamics. This stable setup produces low probability for extremes below 60°F or above 70°F, as reflected in the thinner tails of the market distribution. Updated NWS model runs and morning marine-layer forecasts on September 3 will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$143Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a Friday night low in the mid-60s for Los Angeles, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 66-67°F (48%) and 64-65°F (33.5%).** Typical early-September conditions feature a persistent marine layer and onshore southwest flow that moderates coastal temperatures through nocturnal cloud cover and fog, keeping overnight lows near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 64.5°F. Recent observations at Los Angeles International Airport show September 1–2 lows of 66°F and 64–65°F, with no incoming cold advection or heat ridge to shift the pattern. The approaching Tropical Storm Marie remains well offshore and primarily influences surf rather than local thermodynamics. This stable setup produces low probability for extremes below 60°F or above 70°F, as reflected in the thinner tails of the market distribution. Updated NWS model runs and morning marine-layer forecasts on September 3 will be the next key inputs for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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