The closely matched market odds for 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3 stem primarily from the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 25–30°C under northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, with lingering influences from Tropical Cyclone Saodel. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity are expected to limit daytime heating below the 30.8°C climatological normal for early September, while brief periods of sunshine could push readings to the upper end of the range. Numerical weather models show broad consensus on these conditions, though small variations in rain timing or wind strength introduce uncertainty; the next HKO update and refined model runs will be key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 3 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 3 de septiembre?
29°C 31%
30°C 28%
28°C 17%
31°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C
10%
28°C
17%
29°C
31%
30°C
28%
31°C
11%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 31%
30°C 28%
28°C 17%
31°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
23°C or below
$11 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$125 Vol.
4%
26°C
$70 Vol.
8%
27°C
$47 Vol.
10%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C
$7 Vol.
31%
30°C
$0 Vol.
28%
31°C
$161 Vol.
11%
32°C
$65 Vol.
5%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The closely matched market odds for 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3 stem primarily from the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 25–30°C under northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, with lingering influences from Tropical Cyclone Saodel. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity are expected to limit daytime heating below the 30.8°C climatological normal for early September, while brief periods of sunshine could push readings to the upper end of the range. Numerical weather models show broad consensus on these conditions, though small variations in rain timing or wind strength introduce uncertainty; the next HKO update and refined model runs will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$496Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The closely matched market odds for 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3 stem primarily from the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 25–30°C under northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, with lingering influences from Tropical Cyclone Saodel. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity are expected to limit daytime heating below the 30.8°C climatological normal for early September, while brief periods of sunshine could push readings to the upper end of the range. Numerical weather models show broad consensus on these conditions, though small variations in rain timing or wind strength introduce uncertainty; the next HKO update and refined model runs will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$496Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market odds for 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3 stem primarily from the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 25–30°C under northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, with lingering influences from Tropical Cyclone Saodel. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity are expected to limit daytime heating below the 30.8°C climatological normal for early September, while brief periods of sunshine could push readings to the upper end of the range. Numerical weather models show broad consensus on these conditions, though small variations in rain timing or wind strength introduce uncertainty; the next HKO update and refined model runs will be key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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