Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a likely overnight low of 15–17°C for São Paulo on September 4 amid a warming spring pattern, with daytime highs reaching 27–31°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds. This positions 13°C or below as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability due to lingering uncertainty over radiative cooling under variable cloud cover or a passing frontal boundary that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops below seasonal norms of about 12°C. Recent observations show cooler overnight readings in the low teens on September 2, supporting trader caution, while ensemble guidance points to limited intensification of cooling ahead of the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 4 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 4 de septiembre?
13°C o menos 99%
23°C o más 59%
15°C 50%
14°C 47%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
13°C o menos
99%
14°C
47%
15°C
50%
16°C
46%
17°C
24%
18°C
19%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
24%
22°C
24%
23°C o más
59%
13°C o menos 99%
23°C o más 59%
15°C 50%
14°C 47%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
13°C o menos
$0 Vol.
99%
14°C
$0 Vol.
47%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$0 Vol.
46%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$87 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
24%
20°C
$0 Vol.
24%
21°C
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C o más
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a likely overnight low of 15–17°C for São Paulo on September 4 amid a warming spring pattern, with daytime highs reaching 27–31°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds. This positions 13°C or below as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability due to lingering uncertainty over radiative cooling under variable cloud cover or a passing frontal boundary that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops below seasonal norms of about 12°C. Recent observations show cooler overnight readings in the low teens on September 2, supporting trader caution, while ensemble guidance points to limited intensification of cooling ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volumen
$87Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a likely overnight low of 15–17°C for São Paulo on September 4 amid a warming spring pattern, with daytime highs reaching 27–31°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds. This positions 13°C or below as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability due to lingering uncertainty over radiative cooling under variable cloud cover or a passing frontal boundary that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops below seasonal norms of about 12°C. Recent observations show cooler overnight readings in the low teens on September 2, supporting trader caution, while ensemble guidance points to limited intensification of cooling ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$87Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a likely overnight low of 15–17°C for São Paulo on September 4 amid a warming spring pattern, with daytime highs reaching 27–31°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds. This positions 13°C or below as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability due to lingering uncertainty over radiative cooling under variable cloud cover or a passing frontal boundary that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops below seasonal norms of about 12°C. Recent observations show cooler overnight readings in the low teens on September 2, supporting trader caution, while ensemble guidance points to limited intensification of cooling ahead of the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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